THE FACTORS AFFECTING THE INTRA INDUSTRY TRADE BETWEEN THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE UNITED STATES: AN ARDL MODEL APPROACH

Özlem TOPLU YILMAZ
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Abstract

This study is an analysis of the intra industry trade between the United Kingdom and the United States of America in the manufacturing sector. The analysis comprises of the years between 1993 and 2019. The factors influencing the intra industry trade and their impacts are examined. With the help of ARDL approach, cointegration between the variables is tested. According to the results, foreign direct investment, per capita income difference and trade openness are affective in the long run, but in the short run, per capita income difference, GDP difference and trade orientation are affective. Per capita income difference has an impact on the intra industry trade both in the short run and in the long run, demonstrating the Linder’s Theory of Overlapping Demands which proposes that the international trade will be stronger between countries with similar per capita income levels.
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影响英国与美国产业内贸易的因素:一个ardl模型方法
本研究是对英国和美利坚合众国在制造业部门的产业内贸易的分析。该分析包括1993年至2019年的年份。分析了影响产业内贸易的因素及其影响。借助ARDL方法,对变量间进行协整检验。结果表明,长期来看,外商直接投资、人均收入差异和贸易开放程度是有影响的,短期来看,人均收入差异、GDP差异和贸易取向是有影响的。人均收入差异对产业内贸易的短期和长期影响,证明了Linder的重叠需求理论,即在人均收入水平相近的国家之间,国际贸易将更加强劲。
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审稿时长
16 weeks
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