The Occupancy Rate Modeling of Kendari Hotel Room using Mexican Hat Transformation and Partial Least Squares

ComTech Pub Date : 2016-12-31 DOI:10.21512/COMTECH.V7I4.3766
M. Ohyver, Herena Pudjihastuti
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Abstract

Partial Least Squares (PLS) method was developed in 1960 by Herman Wold. The method particularly suits with construct a regression model when the number of independent variables is many and highly collinear. The PLS can be combined with other methods, one of which is a Continuous Wavelet Transformation (CWT). By considering that the presence of outliers can lead to a less reliable model, and this kind of transformation may be required at a stage of pre-processing, the data is free of noise or outliers. Based on the previous study, Kendari hotel room occupancy rate was affected by the outlier, and it had a low value of R2. Therefore, this research aimed to obtain a good model by combining the PLS method and CWT transformation using the Mexican Hats them other wavelet of CWT. The research concludes that merging the PLS and the Mexican Hat transformation has resulted in a better model compared to the model that combined the PLS and the Haar wavelet transformation as shown in the previous study. The research shows that by changing the mother of the wavelet, the value of R2 can be improved significantly. The result provides information on how to increase the value of R2. The other advantage is the information for hotel managements to notice the age of the hotel, the maximum rates, the facilities, and the number of rooms to increase the number of visitors.
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基于墨西哥帽变换和偏最小二乘的Kendari酒店客房入住率建模
偏最小二乘法(PLS)是由赫尔曼·沃尔德于1960年提出的。该方法特别适用于自变量数量多且高度共线性的回归模型的构造。PLS可以与其他方法相结合,其中一种方法是连续小波变换(CWT)。考虑到异常值的存在会导致模型的可靠性降低,并且在预处理阶段可能需要进行这种转换,因此数据没有噪声或异常值。根据之前的研究,Kendari酒店客房入住率受到离群值的影响,R2值较低。因此,本研究的目的是将PLS方法与CWT变换相结合,利用CWT的墨西哥帽和其他小波,得到一个好的模型。研究得出结论,与前人研究中PLS与Haar小波变换相结合的模型相比,合并PLS与Mexican Hat变换得到了更好的模型。研究表明,通过改变小波母,可以显著提高R2的值。结果提供了关于如何增加R2值的信息。另一个好处是,这些信息可以让酒店管理人员注意到酒店的年龄,最高价格,设施和房间数量,以增加游客数量。
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审稿时长
16 weeks
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