Estimate of shadow economy dynamics in Russia and regions: The inflationary aspect

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Applied Econometrics Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.22394/1993-7601-2023-69-121-140
S. Arzhenovskiy
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Abstract

The share of the shadow economy in the GDP of Russia and by region — in the GRP of the regions, was estimated in the study, based on quarterly data. The methodology included two approaches — structural modeling and using of the cash demand model. Estimation of consumer price index elasticity factors by the share of shadow economy in GDP/GRP was carried out. Comparison of empirical results of the study with obtained other authors and other methods, both by country and by region, showed their comparability.
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俄罗斯及地区影子经济动态的估计:通货膨胀方面
该研究根据季度数据估算了影子经济在俄罗斯国内生产总值和各地区国内生产总值中所占的份额。方法包括两种方法-结构建模和使用现金需求模型。利用影子经济占GDP/GRP的比重估算居民消费价格指数弹性因子。将本研究的实证结果与其他作者和其他方法进行国别和地区比较,显示了其可比性。
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来源期刊
Applied Econometrics
Applied Econometrics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
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0
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Econometrics is an international journal published bi-monthly, plus 1 additional issue (total 7 issues). It aims to publish articles of high quality dealing with the application of existing as well as new econometric techniques to a wide variety of problems in economics and related subjects, covering topics in measurement, estimation, testing, forecasting, and policy analysis. The emphasis is on the careful and rigorous application of econometric techniques and the appropriate interpretation of the results. The economic content of the articles is stressed. A special feature of the Journal is its emphasis on the replicability of results by other researchers. To achieve this aim, authors are expected to make available a complete set of the data used as well as any specialised computer programs employed through a readily accessible medium, preferably in a machine-readable form. The use of microcomputers in applied research and transferability of data is emphasised. The Journal also features occasional sections of short papers re-evaluating previously published papers. The intention of the Journal of Applied Econometrics is to provide an outlet for innovative, quantitative research in economics which cuts across areas of specialisation, involves transferable techniques, and is easily replicable by other researchers. Contributions that introduce statistical methods that are applicable to a variety of economic problems are actively encouraged. The Journal also aims to publish review and survey articles that make recent developments in the field of theoretical and applied econometrics more readily accessible to applied economists in general.
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