Implementation of currency interventions of the Central Bank of Armenia with financial derivatives

IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Ekonomski Vjesnik Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.51680/ev.36.1.12
M. Aslanyan
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Abstract

Purpose: The main goal of the paper is to develop financial derivatives of the Republic of Armenia (RA) as hedging tools for foreign exchange risk management for financial organizations and other entities. The secondary goal is to substantiate the efficiency and expediency of the use of financial derivatives as alternative tools for the implementation of foreign exchange interventions of the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA). Methodology: In order to evaluate the currency interventions carried out by the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA), the interventions and their impact were studied by applying causal-comparative analysis and synthesis methods based on the CBA and International Monetary Fund (IMF) data. The most efficient intervention tools were revealed as a result of such analysis. The forward prices were calculated based on the swap intervention data and using the principle of impossibility of arbitration. Results: The present study substantiated that the application of a forward contract for difference can ensure the same goals like those pursued by foreign exchange interventions with no impact on foreign reserves and no need for sterilization. Conclusion: It was proposed to divide the swap agreements used by the CBA into spot and forward, which will ensure the realization of the same goals along with engaging a large number of non-financial companies. At the same time, the application of a forward contract for difference during the implementation of foreign exchange interventions will lead to the development of the financial derivatives market and ensure the matching of foreign exchange cash flows received by businesses in different periods.
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亚美尼亚中央银行通过金融衍生品实施货币干预
目的:本文的主要目标是开发亚美尼亚共和国(RA)的金融衍生品,作为金融机构和其他实体外汇风险管理的对冲工具。第二个目标是证实使用金融衍生品作为实施亚美尼亚中央银行(CBA)外汇干预的替代工具的效率和权宜之计。方法:为了评估亚美尼亚中央银行(CBA)实施的货币干预措施,基于CBA和国际货币基金组织(IMF)的数据,采用因果比较分析和综合方法研究干预措施及其影响。通过这种分析,揭示了最有效的干预工具。远期价格的计算基于掉期干预数据,并采用不可仲裁原则。结果:本研究证实,远期差价合约的应用可以确保与外汇干预所追求的目标相同,而不影响外汇储备,也不需要冲销。结论:提出将CBA使用的掉期协议分为现货和远期两种,既能保证目标的实现,又能吸引大量的非金融公司参与。同时,在实施外汇干预时采用远期差价合约,将促进金融衍生品市场的发展,保证企业在不同时期收到的外汇现金流量的匹配。
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Ekonomski Vjesnik
Ekonomski Vjesnik ECONOMICS-
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