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Implementation of currency interventions of the Central Bank of Armenia with financialderivatives 亚美尼亚中央银行通过金融衍生品实施货币干预
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.12
M. Aslanyan
Purpose: The main goal of the paper is to develop financial derivatives of the Republic of Armenia (RA) as hedging tools for foreign exchange risk management for financial organizations and other entities. The secondary goal is to substantiate the efficiency and expediency of the use of financial derivatives as alternative tools for the implementation of foreign exchange interventions of the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA). Methodology: In order to evaluate the currency interventions carried out by the Central Bank of Armenia (CBA), the interventions and their impact were studied by applying causal-comparative analysis and synthesis methods based on the CBA and International Monetary Fund (IMF) data. The most efficient intervention tools were revealed as a result of such analysis. The forward prices were calculated based on the swap intervention data and using the principle of impossibility of arbitration. Results: The present study substantiated that the application of a forward contract for difference can ensure the same goals like those pursued by foreign exchange interventions with no impact on foreign reserves and no need for sterilization. Conclusion: It was proposed to divide the swap agreements used by the CBA into spot and forward, which will ensure the realization of the same goals along with engaging a large number of non-financial companies. At the same time, the application of a forward contract for difference during the implementation of foreign exchange interventions will lead to the development of the financial derivatives market and ensure the matching of foreign exchange cash flows received by businesses in different periods.
目的:本文的主要目标是开发亚美尼亚共和国(RA)的金融衍生品,作为金融机构和其他实体外汇风险管理的对冲工具。第二个目标是证实使用金融衍生品作为实施亚美尼亚中央银行(CBA)外汇干预的替代工具的效率和权宜之计。方法:为了评估亚美尼亚中央银行(CBA)实施的货币干预措施,基于CBA和国际货币基金组织(IMF)的数据,采用因果比较分析和综合方法研究干预措施及其影响。通过这种分析,揭示了最有效的干预工具。远期价格的计算基于掉期干预数据,并采用不可仲裁原则。结果:本研究证实,远期差价合约的应用可以确保与外汇干预所追求的目标相同,而不影响外汇储备,也不需要冲销。结论:提出将CBA使用的掉期协议分为现货和远期两种,既能保证目标的实现,又能吸引大量的非金融公司参与。同时,在实施外汇干预时采用远期差价合约,将促进金融衍生品市场的发展,保证企业在不同时期收到的外汇现金流量的匹配。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of the tax wedge in Croatia and Slovenia from 2005 to 2020 2005 - 2020年克罗地亚和斯洛文尼亚税收楔子的比较分析
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.1
Sandra Krtalić, Paula Peruško
Purpose: Personal income tax (PIT) and social security contributions (SSC) play a significant role in tax systems. Since both of them affect employers and employees, it is important to analyse the labour costs paid by the employer (gross wage) and the net wage received by the employee, i.e., the tax wedge. Methodology: Following OECD’s Taxing Wages methodology, this paper analyses the characteristics of the tax wedge and the tax wedge policy in the Republic of Croatia and the Republic of Slovenia in the period from 2005 to 2020. Results: The conducted analysis has shown that a Slovenian taxpayer faces the highest average net tax wedge for each observed family type, and that the Croatian tax wedge is lower in all hypothetical units observed. The taxpayer with the highest average gross wage also faces the highest tax burden. The problem of a relatively high tax wedge in Croatia and Slovenia does not lie with the personal income tax, which is relatively low, but with social contributions. Conclusion: The tax wedge primarily depends on the level of income, it decreases if the taxpayer has (more) children, and its amount depends on various levels of tax, deductions and social security contributions. In the future, the focus will be on alleviating the labour tax burden. However, this begs the question of how to further alleviate the burden on labour without implementing major structural reforms in the pension and healthcare system and/or introducing new tax forms.
目的:个人所得税(PIT)和社会保障缴款(SSC)在税收制度中发挥着重要作用。由于两者都影响雇主和雇员,因此分析雇主支付的劳动力成本(总工资)和雇员获得的净工资(即税收楔子)非常重要。方法:遵循经合组织的税收工资方法,本文分析了2005年至2020年期间克罗地亚共和国和斯洛文尼亚共和国的税收楔子和税收楔子政策的特征。结果:所进行的分析表明,斯洛文尼亚纳税人面临的每个观察到的家庭类型的平均净税收楔子最高,克罗地亚的税收楔子在所有观察到的假设单位中都较低。平均总工资最高的纳税人也面临着最高的税负。克罗地亚和斯洛文尼亚相对较高的税收楔子的问题不在于相对较低的个人所得税,而在于社会缴款。结论:税收楔子主要取决于收入水平,如果纳税人有(多)个孩子,税收楔子会减小,其大小取决于各种税收水平、扣除和社会保障缴款。今后的重点是减轻劳动税负担。然而,这回避了一个问题,即如何在不实施养老金和医疗体系的重大结构性改革和/或引入新的税收形式的情况下进一步减轻劳动力的负担。
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引用次数: 0
Capital market efficiency in transitioning Southeastern European countries 转型期东南欧国家的资本市场效率
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.5
Ante Dodig, Milica Bugarčić
Purpose: This paper is a continuation of research in the series that examines the weak form of the efficient capital markets theorem in Southeast European transitioning economies. Model modifications are based on learnings through the previously established inapplicability of foreign exchange metrics. At the same time, the model is being expanded by incorporating new research markets, extending the time coverage to the longest duration to date, between 2005 and 2021, to cover economic bust and recovery periods and research inherent improvements in the capital market context, and adding new variables to provide more sturdiness and conclusiveness. Methodology: The paper applies the panel pooled mean group estimator by aggregating cross-country data. By using level series prime data instead of differentials, this method enables efficient use of information and resolves at best the identified market shallowness. Results: The statistical results of empirical research infer the inefficiency of the investigated markets with greater robustness and supplementary new information revealing more powerful corrective investor and policy behavior in collectively more mature markets. Conclusions: The findings firmly reiterate subpar capital markets performance in a prolonged and more comprehensive environment. The recommendations conclusively emphasize the importance of structural reforms to support sustainability through elementary setup drivers, such as transparency, governance, judiciary productivity, and policy support, inter alia.
目的:本文是该系列研究的延续,该系列研究考察了东南欧转型经济体中有效资本市场定理的弱形式。模型修改是根据以前确定的外汇计量不适用的经验教训进行的。与此同时,该模型正在进行扩展,纳入新的研究市场,将时间覆盖范围扩大到迄今为止最长的时间(2005年至2021年),以涵盖经济萧条和复苏时期,并研究资本市场背景下的内在改善,并增加新的变量以提供更多的稳健性和结定论。方法:通过汇总跨国数据,采用面板混合平均组估计方法。通过使用水平序列素数数据而不是微分,该方法可以有效地利用信息,并最多解决已识别的市场浅度问题。结果:实证研究的统计结果以更强的稳健性推断了被调查市场的低效率,补充的新信息揭示了在总体上更成熟的市场中更强大的纠正性投资者和政策行为。结论:研究结果坚定地重申,资本市场在长期和更全面的环境中表现欠佳。这些建议最后强调了结构性改革的重要性,以通过透明度、治理、司法生产力和政策支持等基本设置驱动因素来支持可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Resource-based economy – determinants of economic growth and sustainable development in Saudi Arabia 资源型经济——沙特阿拉伯经济增长和可持续发展的决定因素
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.4
Sandra Šokčević, Andreja Rudančić, Matea Pandžić
Purpose: This paper examines the determinants of long-term economic growth and sustainable development of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia as a chosen one-resource economy that relies on massive oil production. Methodology is based on the econometric methods of multiple regression analysis and the multicollinearity test for the period from 2010 to 2020. The research was conducted on the basis of a model of 13 variables, where the dependent variable is the annual rate of GDP, and the independent variables are inflation, budget deficit, oil exports, imports, unemployment rate, foreign direct investment, labour productivity, public debt, labour force, GDP per capita, HDI index, total rent of natural resources and adjusted net savings. Results indicate a strong connection between gross domestic product and the selected variables and the existence of factors that are of strategic importance for the growth of the Saudi economy, but on the other hand, the negative effects of certain factors on sustainable development. Conclusion: Based on the results, it is suggested that investment in human capital is an urgent step to achieve long-term sustainability and reduce reliance on natural resource operations in the future.
目的:本文考察了沙特阿拉伯王国长期经济增长和可持续发展的决定因素,作为一个选择的单一资源经济,依赖于大量的石油生产。研究方法采用计量经济学方法进行多元回归分析和多元共线性检验,选取2010 - 2020年为研究对象。该研究基于一个包含13个变量的模型进行,其中因变量是国内生产总值的年增长率,自变量是通货膨胀率、预算赤字、石油出口、进口、失业率、外国直接投资、劳动生产率、公共债务、劳动力、人均国内生产总值、人类发展指数、自然资源总租金和调整后的净储蓄。结果表明,国内生产总值与选定的变量之间存在很强的联系,并且存在对沙特经济增长具有战略重要性的因素,但另一方面,某些因素对可持续发展的负面影响。结论:基于研究结果,建议人力资本投资是未来实现长期可持续发展和减少对自然资源运营依赖的迫切步骤。
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引用次数: 0
The nexus between transparency reports and soft skills training in audit firms 审计事务所透明度报告与软技能培训的关系
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.11
Burak Özdoğan, Ayşe Necef Yereli
Purpose: This study aims to identify and discuss educational practices of a selected set of audit firms operating in Turkey within the scope of corporate transparency reports. Methodology: To address the basic research question, a sample of 52 audit firm disclosures in transparency reports are examined, and statistical analyses are conducted through SPSS. Results: Audit firms affiliated with international bodies provide comparatively longer periods of non-technical or soft skills education in-house. Transparency reports published in Turkey are yet to be standardized, and audit firms are to systematically plan and enrich their education programs with a particular emphasis on soft skills. Conclusion: Audit firms would gain from investing in the development of non-technical skills, which is not only limited by monetary concerns but also by other factors yet to be considered. The study also attempts to uncover any similarity/difference among audit firms’ educational initiatives identified in transparency reports, and understand whether these initiatives translate into some meaningful relationships and outcomes.
目的:本研究旨在确定和讨论在土耳其公司透明度报告范围内选定的一组审计公司的教育实践。方法:为解决基本研究问题,以52家审计事务所披露的透明度报告为样本,通过SPSS进行统计分析。结果:隶属于国际机构的审计事务所在内部提供相对较长的非技术或软技能教育。土耳其发布的透明度报告尚未标准化,审计公司需要系统地规划和丰富其教育项目,特别强调软技能。结论:审计公司将从投资发展非技术技能中获益,这不仅受到资金问题的限制,还受到其他尚未考虑的因素的限制。该研究还试图揭示透明度报告中审计事务所教育举措之间的相似性/差异性,并了解这些举措是否转化为一些有意义的关系和结果。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption pressure on business revisited 商界再次面临腐败压力
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.2
Jelena Budak, E. Rajh, Sunčana Slijepčević, Matea Maloča
Purpose: This paper investigates whether within the European countries with a prevalent number of companies in particular sectors the corrupt rent-seeking practice is more likely to contaminate the entire business sector. Methodology: Multiple regression analysis was conducted to investigate the determinants of corruption pressure on the business sector. Results: We found that the share of retail and wholesale trade and public companies in the economy is related to bribery incidence experienced in the domestic business sector as a whole and that the ease of doing business together with EU membership reduces the spread of corruption risk. The transmissible effect of bribery incidence in one sector on the rest of the companies is observed, notwithstanding the post-transition status of a European country. Conclusion: There is a relationship between the share of retail and wholesale trade and public companies in an economy and bribery incidence experienced by the entire business sector indicating that there might be a spillover effect of bribing in one sector on the rest of the companies.
目的:本文调查是否在欧洲国家与普遍数量的公司在特定部门,腐败的寻租行为更有可能污染整个商业部门。方法:采用多元回归分析的方法,探讨商业部门腐败压力的决定因素。结果:我们发现,零售、批发贸易和上市公司在经济中的份额与整个国内商业部门的贿赂发生率有关,并且经商的便利性以及欧盟成员国身份降低了腐败风险的传播。观察到一个部门的贿赂发生率对其他公司的传导效应,尽管欧洲国家的转型后状态。结论:一个经济体中零售、批发贸易和上市公司的份额与整个商业部门的贿赂发生率之间存在关系,这表明一个部门的贿赂可能会对其他公司产生溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation of the effect of working capital management on profitability by panel dataanalysis and multi-criteria decision making techniques 运用面板数据分析和多准则决策技术研究营运资金管理对盈利能力的影响
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.6
E. Korkmaz, Turgut Karabulut, M. Güner
Purpose: The aim of this study is to reveal and compare the effect of working capital management on return on assets with different analysis methods, based on the annual financial statement data of companies in the tourism sector traded in Borsa Istanbul (BIST) in the period 2012-2020. This study aimed to reveal the drawbacks of including in the model variables that are not an element of working capital management. Methodology: Panel data analysis, the analytical hierarchy process and the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process were used to reveal the effect of working capital management variables on return on assets based on the financial statement data of the companies. Results: As a result of the analysis, a significant relationship was identified between the rankings made by using the realized return on assets ratios and the rankings obtained by AHP and FAHP, while no significant relationship was found between the rankings obtained by panel data analysis. Conclusion: Including some variables in the model as a working capital management variable in panel data analysis may cause misinterpretation of the effects of real working capital variables on return on assets. When the model that emerged according to the AHP and FAHP methods was examined, the asset turnover rate and financial leverage ratio variables were determined as the ratios with the lowest effect on return on assets, as the elements of working capital management in the weighting made according to the opinions of the experts.
目的:本研究基于2012-2020年在伊斯坦布尔证券交易所(BIST)上市的旅游行业公司的年度财务报表数据,旨在通过不同的分析方法揭示和比较营运资金管理对资产收益率的影响。本研究旨在揭示包括在模型变量不是营运资金管理的一个元素的缺点。方法:以公司财务报表数据为基础,采用面板数据分析、层次分析法和模糊层次分析法揭示营运资金管理变量对资产收益率的影响。结果:通过分析发现,利用资产实现收益率的排名与AHP和FAHP的排名之间存在显著的关系,而面板数据分析得出的排名之间没有显著的关系。结论:在面板数据分析中,将模型中的一些变量作为营运资金管理变量,可能会导致对实际营运资金变量对资产收益率的影响的误解。在对AHP和FAHP方法得到的模型进行检验时,根据专家的意见,将资产周转率和财务杠杆率变量确定为对资产收益率影响最小的比率,作为营运资金管理的要素。
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引用次数: 0
Characteristics of women and men entrepreneurs according to the student population in Croatia 根据克罗地亚学生人口,男女企业家的特点
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.8
J. Kristić, Ivana Fosić, I. Štefanić
Purpose: The aim of this paper is to determine which characteristics the student population, especially student rural population, perceives as typical of women and men entrepreneurs, respectively, their grouping into latent factors, and the identification of possible differences in attitudes of respondents with regard to their demographic variables. Methodology: An indicative survey was conducted on a sample of 1,157 respondents of the student population in Croatia by a questionnaire as a research tool. Descriptive statistical data analysis, inferential statistics, simple analysis of variance (one-way ANOVA) and exploratory factor analysis were used in the research. Results: The results show that there are differences in attitudes towards the characteristics of women entrepreneurs and men entrepreneurs, with particular emphasis on differences in the perception of women’s entrepreneurship in rural areas. Conclusion: Positive trends in thinking about women’s entrepreneurship in rural areas are very interesting and promising, which may eventually result in a reduction in the women’s unemployment rate in rural areas and in valuing women as capable entrepreneurs.
目的:本文的目的是确定学生群体,特别是农村学生群体,分别认为哪些特征是女性和男性企业家的典型特征,将其归类为潜在因素,并确定受访者对其人口变量的态度可能存在的差异。方法:以问卷作为研究工具,对克罗地亚1 157名学生作答的样本进行了指示性调查。研究采用描述性统计数据分析、推断统计、单因素方差分析和探索性因子分析。结果:研究结果表明,对女性企业家和男性企业家特征的态度存在差异,尤其强调对农村地区女性创业认知的差异。结论:考虑农村妇女创业的积极趋势是非常有趣和有希望的,这可能最终导致农村妇女失业率的降低,并将妇女视为有能力的企业家。
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引用次数: 0
What are the factors that determine risk-adjusted returns of Croatian life insurers? 决定克罗地亚寿险公司风险调整收益的因素是什么?
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.15
Tomislava Pavić Kramarić, M. Miletic
Purpose: When conducting their business, insurers face various risks that are controlled for in order to mitigate them and protect the insured, inter alia. Moreover, being aware of the factors that determine the reward-to-risk ratio for insurers is also of crucial importance. Thus, the aim of this research is to identify potential factors that influence risk-adjusted returns of life insurance companies. Methodology: The analysis is conducted on a sample of life insurers that operated in Croatia in the period from 2016 to 2020. For this purpose, risk-adjusted ROA, i.e. the Sharpe ratio, is used as a risk-adjusted return measure, while independent variables encompass several insurance firm-oriented and insurance industry-specific variables, as well as variables depicting the level of macroeconomic development, stock market, bond market and institutional development. Results: After conducting dynamic panel analysis, the obtained results suggest that the premium growth rate, asset-based size, the net premium to surplus ratio, i.e. leverage, as well as bond market development are significant factors when determining risk-adjusted returns. Conclusion: Risk-adjusted returns are determined by insurance firm-oriented factors which are important not only to investors but also to insurance market regulators and insurance firm managers.
目的:在开展业务时,保险公司面临各种风险,这些风险是可控的,以减轻风险并保护被保险人等。此外,了解决定保险公司风险回报比的因素也至关重要。因此,本研究的目的是找出影响寿险公司风险调整收益的潜在因素。方法:对2016年至2020年期间在克罗地亚经营的人寿保险公司的样本进行分析。为此,采用风险调整后的资产收益率即夏普比率作为风险调整后的收益度量,自变量包括若干面向保险公司和保险行业的变量,以及描述宏观经济发展水平、股票市场、债券市场和制度发展水平的变量。结果:通过动态面板分析,所得结果表明,溢价增长率、资产规模、净溢价与盈余比率(即杠杆率)以及债券市场发展程度是决定风险调整后收益的重要因素。结论:风险调整收益是由保险公司导向的因素决定的,这些因素不仅对投资者重要,而且对保险市场监管机构和保险公司管理者也很重要。
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引用次数: 0
Dimensions of attractiveness in employer branding and the value proposition framework foryoung employees 雇主品牌吸引力的维度与年轻员工价值主张框架
IF 0.4 Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.51680/ev.36.1.7
Erik Ružić, Dragan Benazić
Purpose: The aim of this paper is to expand the body of knowledge on employer branding by identifying the dimensions of employer attractiveness for Generation Z and to develop a framework for employee value creation in the specific context of Croatian culture. Methodology: The research was conducted on a sample of 220 key informants using the scale developed by Berthon et al. (2005). Since the purpose of the paper was to identify the various dimensions of employer attractiveness as well as the key factors of attractiveness as the basis for value proposition underlying respondents’ perception of employer attractiveness, exploratory factor analysis was applied to analyze the data, i.e. a total of 25 identified employer attractiveness variables. After performing factor analysis, the average rates of importance were measured using summated rating scales for variables of individual factors. Results: The study identified six organizational attractiveness dimensions relevant to Generation Z. In addition, a value proposition framework was developed. The attractiveness dimensions encompass Organization’s market orientation, Acceptance and good relationships with colleagues, Informal characteristics of the workplace, Potential of the workplace for gaining experience and career advancement, Salary and other material benefits, and Sense of belonging to the organization. The dimensions have changed compared to the original Berthon et al. (2005) scale. These differences can be attributed to the specific needs of young employees and to a specific culture and general current conditions. Conclusion: In the “war for talent”, especially for young employees who enter the labor market for the first time, marketing concepts can be a powerful weapon. In order to attract them, their needs and wants should be deeply understood. Based on the proposed value proposition framework and the identified organizational dimensions, a valuable employer brand can be developed and the possibilities to attract and engage employees can be increased.
目的:本文的目的是通过确定Z世代雇主吸引力的维度来扩展雇主品牌的知识体系,并在克罗地亚文化的特定背景下制定员工价值创造框架。研究方法:使用Berthon等人(2005)开发的量表,对220名关键线人的样本进行了研究。由于本文的目的是确定雇主吸引力的各个维度以及吸引力的关键因素,作为受访者对雇主吸引力感知的价值主张的基础,因此采用探索性因素分析来分析数据,即总共确定了25个雇主吸引力变量。在进行因素分析后,使用单个因素变量的累计评级量表测量平均重要性率。结果:研究确定了与z世代相关的六个组织吸引力维度。此外,还开发了一个价值主张框架。吸引力维度包括组织的市场导向、接受度和与同事的良好关系、工作场所的非正式特征、工作场所获得经验和职业发展的潜力、工资和其他物质利益以及对组织的归属感。与原来的Berthon et al.(2005)量表相比,维度发生了变化。这些差异可以归因于年轻员工的特定需求,以及特定的文化和当前的一般情况。总结:在“人才之战”中,特别是对于第一次进入劳动力市场的年轻员工来说,营销理念可以成为一个强大的武器。为了吸引他们,应该深入了解他们的需求和欲望。基于提出的价值主张框架和确定的组织维度,可以开发有价值的雇主品牌,并增加吸引和吸引员工的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
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Ekonomski Vjesnik
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