Rethinking the Prevalence and Relevance of Chaos in Ecology

S. Munch, T. Rogers, Bethany J. Johnson, Uttam Bhat, C. Tsai
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Chaos was proposed in the 1970s as an alternative explanation for apparently noisy fluctuations in population size. Although readily demonstrated in models, the search for chaos in nature proved challenging and led many to conclude that chaos is either rare or nigh impossible to detect. However, in the intervening half-century, it has become clear that ecosystems are replete with the enabling conditions for chaos. Chaos has been repeatedly demonstrated under laboratory conditions and has been found in field data using updated detection methods. Together, these developments indicate that the apparent rarity of chaos was an artifact of data limitations and overreliance on low-dimensional population models. We invite readers to reevaluate the relevance of chaos in ecology, and we suggest that chaos is not as rare or undetectable as previously believed.
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重新思考混沌在生态学中的普遍性和相关性
混沌在20世纪70年代被提出,作为种群规模明显嘈杂波动的另一种解释。尽管在模型中很容易得到证明,但对自然界混沌的探索被证明是具有挑战性的,并导致许多人得出这样的结论:混沌要么很少,要么几乎不可能被探测到。然而,在这中间的半个世纪里,很明显,生态系统充满了导致混乱的有利条件。混沌已在实验室条件下反复证明,并已在使用最新检测方法的现场数据中发现。总之,这些发展表明,混沌的明显罕见是数据限制和过度依赖低维人口模型的产物。我们邀请读者重新评估混沌在生态学中的相关性,我们认为混沌并不像以前认为的那样罕见或不可检测。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
19.90
自引率
1.70%
发文量
21
期刊介绍: The Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics is a scholarly publication that has been in circulation since 1970. It focuses on important advancements in the areas of ecology, evolutionary biology, and systematics, with relevance to all forms of life on Earth. The journal features essay reviews that encompass various topics such as phylogeny, speciation, molecular evolution, behavior, evolutionary physiology, population dynamics, ecosystem processes, and applications in invasion biology, conservation, and environmental management. Recently, the current volume of the journal transitioned from a subscription-based model to open access through the Annual Reviews' Subscribe to Open program. Consequently, all articles published in the current volume are now available under a CC BY license.
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