Analysis of a Worm Virus Propagation Model Based on Differential Equation

Yu Xiehua, Li Shaozi
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Abstract

The reasonable design of worm propagation model can provide a basis for accurately predicting and analyzing the propagation law and mechanism of worm malicious code in the Internet, and help to further carry out the research on worm protection, detection and suppression technology. This paper introduces the transmission model of infectious diseases in the field of biopathology to analyze the transmission mechanism of network worms, and a class of network worm virus transmission model based on differential equations is established by using LaSalle invariant set principle and orbital stability theory of differential equations. The results show that the basic regeneration number is the threshold value of eliminating worm virus and keeping worm virus in a certain range. When the basic regeneration number is less than or equal to 1, worm virus is eliminated effectively. When the basic regeneration number is greater than 1, the worm virus will persist or stabilize in a certain state.
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基于微分方程的蠕虫病毒传播模型分析
合理设计蠕虫传播模型,可以为准确预测和分析蠕虫恶意代码在互联网上的传播规律和机制提供依据,有助于进一步开展蠕虫防护、检测和抑制技术的研究。本文引入生物病理学领域传染病的传播模型,分析网络蠕虫的传播机理,利用LaSalle不变量集原理和微分方程轨道稳定性理论,建立了一类基于微分方程的网络蠕虫病毒传播模型。结果表明,基本再生数是消除蠕虫病毒并使蠕虫病毒保持在一定范围内的阈值。当基本再生数小于等于1时,蠕虫病毒被有效消除。当基本再生数大于1时,蠕虫病毒将持续存在或稳定在某一状态。
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