PROPERTY LIFE CYCLE COST ANALYSIS METODS

O. Drapikovskyi, Iryna Іvanova
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Abstract

The minimization of the property life cycle cost as a criterion for making a decision regarding the economic feasibility of purchasing or building a certain real estate object compared to other objects with functional utility today has become a mandatory requirement of most regulatory and legal acts in Ukraine. At the same time, the practical implementation of this requirement faces the problem of methodical provision of life cycle cost analysis from the standpoint of the uncertainty of these costs in the future and the need to take into account the time value of money. The application of valuation procedures based on cash flow discounting, proposed in this article, can contribute to the solution of this problem. Discounting cash flows will require the classification of life cycle costs not only by content load, but also by the time of their occurrence into initial and future costs, which in turn are divided into once-only, periodic and regular costs. Acceptable units of measurement of discounted cash flows can be net present costs, equivalent annual cost, net savings; savings to investments ratio, internal rate of return, discounted payback period, each of which corresponds to its own model and valuation criterion. To solve the problem of the uncertainty of future costs and to take into account the risk inherent in their forecasting, the methods of analyzing the sensitivity of the results to changes in the market situation are proposed and the justified feasibility of using stochastic discounted cash flows models is justified. 
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物业生命周期成本分析方法
与其他具有功能效用的对象相比,将财产生命周期成本最小化作为决定购买或建造某种房地产对象的经济可行性的标准,今天已成为乌克兰大多数监管和法律行为的强制性要求。同时,这一要求的实际执行面临着从未来这些成本的不确定性和需要考虑到货币的时间价值的角度有系统地提供生命周期成本分析的问题。本文提出的基于现金流量折现的估值程序的应用有助于解决这一问题。折现现金流不仅需要根据内容负荷,而且需要根据其发生的时间将生命周期成本分类为初始成本和未来成本,而初始成本又分为一次性成本、定期成本和定期成本。折现现金流量的可接受计量单位可以是净现值成本、等值年度成本、净储蓄;储蓄投资比、内部收益率、贴现回收期,每一个都对应着自己的模型和估值准则。为了解决未来成本的不确定性问题,并考虑其预测中固有的风险,提出了分析结果对市场情况变化的敏感性的方法,并证明了使用随机贴现现金流量模型的可行性。
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来源期刊
European Journal of Spatial Development
European Journal of Spatial Development Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
0.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
40 weeks
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