FARMERS’ PERCEPTION OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND PARTHENIUM WEED DISTRIBUTION IN DISTRICT SWABI, KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA

H. Khan
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Climate change is the principal concern of present day agriculturists, environmental scientists and ecologists. Climate change and its negative impacts is still not fully understood and the concept is still criticized for its validity. The present research work consists of two phases. The first phase analyzed the farmers’ perception of climate change and its likely impact on weeds distribution by conducting a formal survey and in the 2nd phase a laboratory experiment was conducted on Parthenium weed selected from study area in Weed Science Department, The University of Agriculture, Peshawar to correlate the findings of both phasesin July-September, 2016. The field survey was carried out in Jan-May, 2016 in Swabi district, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa- Pakistan. 100 farmers from the study area were randomly interviewed through a questionnaire comprised of all relevant parameters to assess their perception of climate change and its consequences.  Most of the farmers (61%) believed in climate change and its negative consequences and complained of lower efficiency of their farming in the changed scenario. They had noticed climatic variations, for the last 20 years, in the form of  summers extension, winters flexion, unexpected and changed pattern of rainfalls (58% responses for increase) with summer rainfalls earlier (68%) and winter rainfalls later (35%), severe and destructive floods (75%), storms or strong winds (77%), hailstorms (67%) and higher  insects/ pests attack causing harm to crops (68%), livestock/ animal (64%) and humans. The changed scenario also posed difficulties to farmers in managing agricultural activities like abundance of weed species (62% farmers strongly agreed) especially the invasive ones e.g. Parthenium hysterophorus, Silybam marianum and Rumex crispus etc. They noticed increase in weed species (78%), frequency (69%) and interaction (78%) among native and invasive weeds. These weeds had aggressive (75%) and uncontrollable growth (68%), out competed the crops (82%), and survived longer (55%). From the field study Parthenium weed was concluded (82%) as the most responsive invasive weed to climate change and was selected for lab study. The experiment was laid out in Completely Randomized Design (CRD) with 4 replications. The treatments comprised of 5 different temperature regimes of 15, 20, 25, 30 and 35 °C in controlled situation in an incubator. The analysis illustrated that high germination % (34.50%) of Parthenium weed seeds occurred at higher temperature (30°C) than optimum (25°C) which was 29.25%, following the same pattern for the growth which remained more (19.75) and (17.45) at higher temperatures of (30°C) and (35°C) respectively than optimum (16.95). The conclusion of lab experiment was that the rise in temperature is favoring the growth of Parthenium weed. This weed is reported in the surveyed area to be highly aggressive and competitive for the indigenous flora expanding its domain in the area.
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开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省斯瓦比地区农民对气候变化的感知与parthenium weed分布
气候变化是当今农业学家、环境科学家和生态学家最关心的问题。气候变化及其负面影响仍未被完全理解,这一概念的有效性仍受到批评。目前的研究工作分为两个阶段。第一阶段通过正式调查分析农民对气候变化的感知及其对杂草分布的可能影响;第二阶段于2016年7 - 9月在白沙瓦农业大学杂草科学系选取研究区域的Parthenium杂草进行实验室实验,以将两阶段的研究结果联系起来。实地调查于2016年1月至5月在巴基斯坦开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省斯瓦比地区进行,来自研究地区的100名农民通过包含所有相关参数的问卷随机采访,以评估他们对气候变化及其后果的看法。大多数农民(61%)相信气候变化及其负面影响,并抱怨在变化的情况下他们的农业效率较低。他们注意到气候变化,在过去的20年里,以夏季延长,冬季弯曲,意外和变化的降雨模式(58%响应增加),夏季降雨提前(68%)和冬季降雨推迟(35%),严重和破坏性的洪水(75%),风暴或强风(77%),冰雹(67%)和更高的昆虫/害虫袭击造成伤害农作物(68%),牲畜/动物(64%)和人类。变化的情景也给农民管理农业活动带来了困难,如杂草种类丰富(62%的农民强烈同意),特别是侵入性杂草,如Parthenium hysterophorus、Silybam marianum和Rumex crispus等。他们注意到,杂草种类(78%)、频率(69%)和本地杂草与入侵杂草之间的相互作用(78%)都有所增加。这些杂草具有侵略性(75%)和不可控生长(68%),与作物竞争(82%),存活时间更长(55%)。在野外研究中,Parthenium weed(82%)被认为是对气候变化最敏感的入侵杂草,并被选中进行实验室研究。试验采用完全随机设计(CRD),设4个重复。在恒温箱中控制15、20、25、30和35 °C的5种不同温度。结果表明,在温度(30°C)高于最适温度(25°C)的条件下,Parthenium weed种子的发芽率为34.50%,高于最适温度(29.25%);在温度(30°C)和温度(35°C)下,Parthenium weed种子的发芽率分别为19.75%和17.45%,高于最适温度(16.95%)。室内实验结果表明,温度的升高有利于Parthenium weed的生长。据报道,在调查地区,这种杂草对本地植物群具有高度的侵略性和竞争性,并扩大了其在该地区的领域。
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