Uncovering road traffic crashes typologies using multiple correspondence analysis (MCA), in a low-resource setting

Cristina Alejandra Domínguez-Cabrera, Juan Diego Febres-Eguiguren, Steven N. Cuadra
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Abstract

The main focus of this study was to investigate self-reported road traffic crashes (RTC) among drivers from Loja Ecuador and to illustrate the applicability of multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) in detecting and representing typologies of individuals who have experienced an RTC as well as the typology of RTC events, upon information collected through a web-based survey carried in 2021. Overall, 754 drivers were investigated and we estimated a life prevalence (LP) of RTC of 41.5% (95% CI 36.9 to 46.2). Typology of drivers who reported involvement in an RTC is characterized by a predominance of people of 25 to 40 years of age, who drive mainly cars and frequently experience distraction and use of a mobile phone when driving. Additionally, MCA indicated two distinctive typologies of RTC events. One is characterized by collision vehicle-to-vehicle, due to behavioral factors, occurring at low-speed limit roads during the afternoon.  The second one is characterized by collision vehicle-to-surrounding occurring at medium-speed limit roads during the evening and late evening. Our study revealed major determinants of RTC are modifiable behavioral factors and that MCA is both a valid exploratory tool to identify individual and event typologies of those under at most risk to suffer an RTC and a feasible technique to be implemented in low-income countries such as Ecuador.
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在低资源环境下,利用多重对应分析(MCA)揭示道路交通碰撞类型
本研究的主要重点是调查来自厄瓜多尔洛哈的司机中自我报告的道路交通事故(RTC),并说明多重对应分析(MCA)在检测和表示经历过RTC的个人类型以及RTC事件类型方面的适用性,这些信息是通过2021年进行的基于网络的调查收集的。总的来说,754名司机被调查,我们估计RTC的生命患病率(LP)为41.5% (95% CI 36.9至46.2)。报告参与RTC的司机类型的特点是,年龄在25至40岁之间的人占主导地位,他们主要驾驶汽车,在驾驶时经常分心和使用手机。此外,MCA显示了RTC事件的两种不同类型。一种是由于行为因素,车辆与车辆之间的碰撞,发生在下午的低速限制道路上。第二种是中速限制道路傍晚和深夜发生的车辆与周围环境的碰撞。我们的研究表明,RTC的主要决定因素是可改变的行为因素,MCA既是一种有效的探索性工具,可以识别最容易遭受RTC的个体和事件类型,也是一种可行的技术,可以在厄瓜多尔等低收入国家实施。
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