La lógica de la gestión del riesgo volcánico

Servando de la Cruz Reyna
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Abstract

Volcanic risk management presents difficulties that are inherent to the nature of the eruptive activity, namely the inaccessibility of the magmatic systems and the multiple interpretations attributable to the signals recorded on the surface. Authorities responsible for the protection of the population require the decision factors that the scientific community may provide, which, with such epistemic uncertainties, must seek ways to identify and communicate the basic elements of the volcanic process that support correct decisions, which otherwise may compromise the safety of large sectors of the population in vulnerable regions.
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火山风险管理的逻辑
火山风险管理带来的困难是火山喷发活动固有的性质,即岩浆系统的不可接近性和归因于地表记录的信号的多种解释。负责保护人口的当局需要科学界可能提供的决策因素,由于认识上的不确定性,科学界必须设法确定和传达火山过程的基本要素,以支持正确的决定,否则这些决定可能危及脆弱地区大部分人口的安全。
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