Evaluation of the Statistical Distribution of Indexes of the Structure of Budget Investments

IF 7.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Review of Economics and Statistics Pub Date : 2023-07-21 DOI:10.21686/2500-3925-2023-4-66-76
N. Kovalenko
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Abstract

The purpose of the study is to substantiate methodological approaches for conducting a statistical study of the structure of budget investments and their approbation at the level of the regions of the Russian Federation on the basis of an assessment of data available in official statistical and administrative records on indexes of the composition of budget investments, analyzing scientific papers devoted to the study of the structure of investments, identifying and systematizing signs of gradation of budget investments for development and analysis their complex structure. The methodological proposals formed were the basis for the application of methods of multidimensional statistical analysis of the distribution of the regions of the Russian Federation by indexes of the structure of budget investments to determine territorial differences in the implementation of state investment programs of socio-economic development.Materials and methods. The study used theoretical methods: analysis, synthesis, comparison of sources of information about budget investments, as well as mathematical and statistical research methods: structural and dynamic analysis, descriptive statistics, multidimensional grouping, cluster analysis.Results. Based on the analysis of regulatory and legal documentation, scientific literature on the research topic, author’s publications, a classification of indexes of the structure of budget investments was formed. The structural and dynamic analysis of the index “Investments in fixed assets by sources of financing” (in the total amount of funds, in comparison with budget funds, by levels of budget expenditures of investments in fixed assets: federal budget, funds from the budget of the regions of the Russian Federation, local budget) was carried out for 2005-2009 and 2013-2021. The variability of the share of expenditures from the federal and regional budgets is revealed, which may be related to the implementation of state regulation measures in the redistribution of investment resources at the federal and regional levels. Using the methods of descriptive statistics, multidimensional grouping, clustering, a comprehensive analysis of the statistical distribution of indexes of budget investments by regions for the period 2015-2021 is presented, resulting in four clusters, an assessment of qualitative differences in the structure of budget investments by selected clusters is given.Conclusion. In this paper, a methodological toolkit is proposed for a full-system representation of the composition of budget investments, provided with the capabilities of official statistical and administrative accounting and allowing organizing the totality of indexes of the structure of budget investments by territorial division, by sources of financing, by spending directions. The practical significance of the study consists in a proven assessment of the statistical distribution of indexes of the structure of budget investments by the share of budget investments in the total volume of investments in fixed assets (own and attracted funds), as well as by budget levels (federal, regional and local levels), identified spatial and dynamic changes in the selected cluster groups of the Russian Federation regions. Executive authorities and local self-government bodies in the formation and implementation of budgets in the areas of spending budget investments in order to increase their socio-economic effectiveness can apply the results obtained.
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预算内投资结构指标统计分布的评价
这项研究的目的是根据对预算投资组成指数的官方统计和行政记录中现有数据的评估,分析专门研究投资结构的科学论文,确定对预算投资结构进行统计研究并在俄罗斯联邦各地区一级核准预算投资结构的方法方法。识别和系统化发展预算投资的分级标志,分析其复杂的结构。所形成的方法建议是通过预算投资结构指数对俄罗斯联邦各地区分布进行多维统计分析的基础,以确定在实施社会经济发展国家投资计划方面的地区差异。材料和方法。本研究运用了理论方法:分析、综合、比较预算投资的信息来源,以及数学和统计研究方法:结构与动态分析、描述性统计、多维分组、聚类分析。通过对相关法律法规文件、研究课题的科学文献、作者著作的分析,形成了预算投资结构指标分类。2005-2009年和2013-2021年对“按资金来源划分的固定资产投资”指数(按资金总额、与预算资金的比较、按固定资产投资预算支出水平划分:联邦预算、俄罗斯联邦地区预算资金、地方预算)进行了结构和动态分析。报告揭示了联邦和地区预算支出份额的变化,这可能与联邦和地区各级投资资源再分配中国家监管措施的实施有关。运用描述性统计、多维分组、聚类等方法,对2015-2021年各地区预算内投资指标的统计分布进行了综合分析,形成了4个聚类,并对所选聚类在预算内投资结构上的质性差异进行了评价。在本文中,提出了一个方法工具包,用于全面系统地表示预算投资的组成,提供官方统计和行政会计的能力,并允许按地区划分、按融资来源、按支出方向组织预算投资结构的总指数。这项研究的实际意义在于对预算投资在固定资产投资总额(自有资金和吸引资金)中所占份额以及预算水平(联邦、地区和地方各级)的预算投资结构指数的统计分布进行了经过验证的评估,并确定了俄罗斯联邦地区选定集群组的空间和动态变化。行政当局和地方自治机构在编制和执行支出预算投资领域的预算以提高其社会经济效益时,可以应用所取得的成果。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
175
期刊介绍: The Review of Economics and Statistics is a 100-year-old general journal of applied (especially quantitative) economics. Edited at the Harvard Kennedy School, the Review has published some of the most important articles in empirical economics.
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