Hazard Mapping and Vulnerable Population Estimation of Chlorine Gas Dispersion

Warda Rafaqat, Weiguo Song, Muhammad Ahmad Niaz
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Due to recent economic development of China, toxic chemicals like Chlorine are manufactured and transported even more and hence the accidental release of Chlorine gas and the disasters is increasing day by day. Potential for disaster occurrence increases with the rise in population density, it also depends on the location and weather conditions and ground roughness as well. Coastal areas such as Boao town are at high risk as chemicals like Chlorine are usually traded through ships and wharf points near urban areas are always consider as threat zones. For the risk assessment of Chlorine gas toxicity, we took a wharf point of Boao town as a sample location. Heavy gas dispersion model is utilized to predict the area at risk in case of accidental release of Chlorine gas from a ship. This model helps to estimate the vulnerable area, based on chemical condition of the substance and meteorological conditions. Three different threat zones are created for three weather conditions based on prevailing seasons, and hence the affected area is calculated in different scenarios. For calculating the vulnerable population, the zonal statistical tools and geographical information tools are also been used, which helps us determine the population needed to evacuate and rescue immediately. Hazard and vulnerability maps can be used by the decision makers for better planning.
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氯气扩散危害制图及脆弱人群估计
由于近年来中国经济的发展,氯气等有毒化学物质的生产和运输越来越多,因此氯气的意外释放和灾难日益增加。灾害发生的可能性随着人口密度的增加而增加,这也取决于地点和天气条件以及地面粗糙度。像博鳌镇这样的沿海地区面临高风险,因为氯等化学品通常通过船只进行交易,而靠近城市地区的码头点一直被视为威胁区域。为了进行氯气毒性风险评价,我们以博鳌镇某码头点为取样点。利用重气体扩散模型对船舶氯气意外泄漏时的危险区域进行了预测。该模型基于物质的化学条件和气象条件,有助于估算脆弱区域。根据流行季节,为三种天气条件创建了三个不同的威胁区域,因此在不同的情况下计算受影响的区域。在计算脆弱人口时,还使用了区域统计工具和地理信息工具,这有助于我们确定需要立即撤离和救援的人口。决策者可以使用危险和脆弱性图进行更好的规划。
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