Management of Reserves in Mature Oil and Gas Fields

D. Peacock, Andrew Duncan
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Many basins throughout the world are experiencing decline in hydrocarbon production with fields maturing and approaching abandonment. Growth in production is coming either from unconventional reservoirs or from relatively immature and emerging basins. As fields (or clusters of fields) approach abandonment, several issues need consideration. There are several ways in which production decline can be mitigated including: infield drilling, workovers, optimised reservoir & facility management, field rejuvenation. Cost management, increased production and operational improvement are some of the strategies employed to maintain profitable operations. Abandonment of a platform with a large number of wells can be a lengthy process with production continuing throughout that process. As production declines, revenues will eventually no longer cover costs. Within the Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS), Reserves are limited by "the earliest truncation of either technical, license, or economic limit". If there are no technical or licence restrictions, the economic limit, defined as the the time when the maximum cumulative net cash flow occurs for a project, defines the date up to which Reserves may be booked. Several issues related to the determination of the economic limit by an Economic Limit Test (ELT) in late field life will be discussed. Short periods of negative cash flow may be accommodated, and therefore qualify as Reserves, under certain circumstances provided that the longer term cumulative net cash flow forecast shows that the following positive periods more than offset the negative. The use of maximum cumulative cash flow as the basis for the ELT means that incremental projects with negative cash flow are not included as Reserves. However, once the costs are sunk and a forward-looking assessment is performed, the cash flow is once again positive and Reserves can be assigned. Volumes being produced beyond the economic limit, accompanied by a negative cash flow, should not be classified as Reserves as they are not economic to produce. The assumption within the PRMS is that this is point at which a project will cease production. In some PSC environments, there may be little incentive for operators to make long term investments close to PSC expiry. Even after fields reach their economic limit, they may be reactivated e.g.by infill drilling, IOR, EOR. This may be done by different operators, including National Oil Companies or service companies and/or under different commercial arrangements. However, in practice, there may be several reasons why fields continue to produce when production is sub-economic. Management of Reserves in mature fields is important for many reasons including: providing a financing base for the operator, signalling investment opportunities for field re-activation, improved recovery methods or to justify licence extension. This paper will outline some of the challenges involved in late life field management and how it impacts Reserves assessment.
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成熟油气田储量管理
随着油田的成熟和接近废弃,世界上许多盆地的油气产量都在下降。产量的增长要么来自非常规油藏,要么来自相对不成熟的新兴盆地。当字段(或字段簇)接近废弃时,需要考虑几个问题。有几种方法可以缓解产量下降,包括:内场钻井、修井、优化油藏和设施管理、油田回采。成本管理、增加产量和改进运营是维持盈利运营的一些策略。一个拥有大量油井的平台的废弃可能是一个漫长的过程,在此过程中,生产仍在继续。随着产量下降,收入最终将无法覆盖成本。在石油资源管理系统(PRMS)中,储量受到“技术、许可或经济限制的最早截断”的限制。如果没有技术或许可证限制,则经济限制(定义为项目发生最大累计净现金流量的时间)确定准备金可以入账的日期。本文将讨论在油田后期使用经济极限试验(ELT)确定经济极限的几个问题。在某些情况下,如果长期累积净现金流量预测显示,接下来的正数期间可以抵消负数,则短期的负现金流量可以被计入准备金。使用最大累积现金流量作为ELT的基础意味着现金流量为负的增量项目不包括在储备中。然而,一旦成本沉没并进行前瞻性评估,现金流量再次为正值,可以分配储备。超过经济限度的产量,伴随着负的现金流,不应该被归类为储备,因为它们不具有经济效益。在PRMS内的假设是,这是一个项目将停止生产的点。在一些PSC环境中,运营商可能没有动力进行接近PSC到期的长期投资。即使在油田达到其经济极限后,它们也可以通过填充钻井、IOR、EOR等方式重新激活。这可以由不同的运营商完成,包括国家石油公司或服务公司,或者根据不同的商业安排。然而,在实践中,可能有几个原因导致油田在生产低于经济效益的情况下继续生产。成熟油田的储量管理非常重要,原因有很多,包括为运营商提供融资基础,为油田重新激活提供投资机会,改进采收率方法或证明许可证延期的合理性。本文将概述油田后期管理中涉及的一些挑战,以及它如何影响储量评估。
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