The Exchange Rate of the Ruble is Close to the Equilibrium Point

A. Bozhechkova, P. Trunin
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Abstract

The balance of payments for 2015 shows an increasing surplus in the current account balance, which has resulted from the shrinking deficit in the balance of services, the investment income balance and wages, coupled with the decreasing surplus in the trade balance. The accelerated weakening of the ruble in real terms against the national currencies of the developing countries during some prolonged periods of time in 2014–2015 was triggered by the mounting geopolitical risks and the plummeting oil prices.
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卢布汇率已接近平衡点
2015年国际收支经常项目顺差扩大,这是由于服务收支、投资收入收支和工资收支逆差缩小,加上贸易收支顺差减少所致。在2014-2015年的一段较长时间内,卢布对发展中国家货币的实际汇率加速贬值,是由地缘政治风险加剧和油价暴跌引发的。
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