Forecasting Smart Well Production via Deep Learning and Data Driven Optimization

Taisa Calvette, Allan Gurwicz, A. C. Abreu, M. Pacheco
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

As smart well technology is increasingly being adopted in oilfield development projects, the need to optimize controls emerged in order to justify its higher initial investment by considerably increasing net present value. While there are numerous methodologies to achieve this goal, a common fact in all is the need for a great number of computationally expensive reservoir simulations, hindering extensive optimizations. This paper proposes the use of deep learning algorithms in proxy models, in order to accurately replicate the behavior of the simulator by forecasting production based on previous data. Thus, a smaller number of simulations are required for a training dataset, and the proxy can then be used in lieu of the simulator for optimization purposes. Other benefits in the use of the proposed methodology include the gathering of insights on production, as problems might be occurring if measured production noticeably deviates from the forecast. Two case studies were done, and the results indicate that a Long Short-Term Memory Network-based proxy is able to forecast production with a remarkably low error, validating the methodology and supporting its use.
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通过深度学习和数据驱动优化预测智能井产量
随着智能井技术越来越多地应用于油田开发项目,优化控制的需求出现了,以便通过大幅提高净现值来证明其较高的初始投资是合理的。虽然有许多方法可以实现这一目标,但一个共同的事实是,需要大量计算成本高昂的油藏模拟,从而阻碍了广泛的优化。本文提出在代理模型中使用深度学习算法,以便通过基于先前数据预测产量来准确地复制模拟器的行为。因此,训练数据集所需的模拟次数较少,然后可以使用代理代替模拟器进行优化。使用拟议方法的其他好处包括收集对产量的见解,因为如果测量的产量明显偏离预测,可能会出现问题。两个案例研究表明,基于长短期记忆网络的代理能够以非常低的误差预测产量,验证了该方法并支持其使用。
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