The Unintended Benefits of Increased Disclosure Frequency: Evidence from the Brokerage House Industry

Yan Hu, Xiaoxi Li, Wei Shi
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Abstract

Using a plausibly exogenous shock to performance disclosure frequency by listed brokerage houses in China, we examine the impact of disclosure frequency on the quality of information production. Difference-in-difference estimation shows that analysts affiliated with listed brokerage houses exhibit lower forecast optimism in the post-regulation period, compared to their unlisted peers. Cross-sectional analyses suggest that the effect is more pronounced when the listed brokerage houses’ business relies less on their clients, when analysts have greater career concern, and when the covered firms exhibit lower valuation uncertainty/difficulty. Additional analysis indicates that forecast revisions by analysts affiliated with a listed brokerage house are more informative after the shock. Moreover, we find that analysts affiliated with listed brokerage houses issue more accurate and frequent forecasts and cover more companies than their peers do, which suggests that information production improves as a result of increased competition. Overall, our evidence suggests that increased performance disclosure by information intermediaries has positive externalities.
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增加披露频率的意外收益:来自经纪业的证据
通过对中国上市证券公司业绩披露频率的似是而非的外生冲击,我们检验了披露频率对信息生产质量的影响。差中差估计显示,与非上市同行相比,上市券商分析师在后监管时期的预测乐观度较低。横断面分析表明,当上市经纪公司的业务对客户的依赖程度较低、分析师对职业生涯的关注程度较高、所涵盖公司的估值不确定性/难度较低时,这种影响更为明显。另一项分析表明,上市经纪公司的分析师在冲击过后对预测的修正更具信息性。此外,我们发现,与同行相比,隶属于上市经纪公司的分析师发布的预测更准确、更频繁,覆盖的公司也更多,这表明竞争加剧导致了信息生产的改善。总体而言,我们的证据表明,信息中介机构绩效披露的增加具有正外部性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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