Statistical Analysis of the Patterns of Global Investment Development in China

IF 7.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Review of Economics and Statistics Pub Date : 2022-05-12 DOI:10.21686/2500-3925-2022-3-4-14
A. V. Loseva
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Abstract

The purpose of the study is to assess the possible impact of patterns and trends in the development of foreign investment activity of China on the prospects of Russian-Chinese economic cooperation in this area, including in terms of support for the Russian energy sector. The relevance of the study is due to the growing influence of the People’s Republic of China in solving global economic and political issues, as well as the importance of its role as a strategic partner of the Russian Federation, which makes it necessary to assess future prospects.The research methods are methods of analyzing time series, including identifying trends, as well as assessing the structure and structural shifts to obtain an overall picture of the structural transformations of foreign direct investment of China in regional and sectoral sections.The results of the study. Chinese foreign direct investment in the last two decades has been characterized by an intensive growth in volumes, resistant to global economic crises; analysis of their geographical structure demonstrates the constancy of such a feature as maximizing the opportunities of global offshore zones and countries granting privileges to foreign investors; the sectoral structure of Chinese foreign direct investment has certain patterns of change that are consistent with the goals and objectives of economic development of China set by five-year plans, which makes it possible to predict and find solutions in the field of Russian-Chinese cooperation; a trend has been identified to increase the attention of Chinese investors to the issue of capital formation in the Russian economy. In addition, an assessment of the analytical capabilities provided to users by the official statistics of China in terms of information about investment processes is given.Conclusion. Statistical analysis of the indicators of foreign investment activity of China over a long period of time allows us to evaluate and characterize its strategic behavior as one of the world’s largest investors, focused primarily on solving the problems of developing its own economy and its global expansion in the long term. The significance of such studies will now increase, given the importance of the development of foreign economic relations with China for the Russian Federation based on the increased potential of interaction between the two countries in recent years.
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全球在华投资发展模式的统计分析
这项研究的目的是评估中国发展外国投资活动的模式和趋势对俄中在这一领域的经济合作前景可能产生的影响,包括对俄罗斯能源部门的支持。这项研究之所以有意义,是因为中华人民共和国在解决全球经济和政治问题方面的影响力日益增强,而且中国作为俄罗斯联邦战略伙伴的作用十分重要,因此有必要对未来前景进行评估。研究方法是分析时间序列的方法,包括确定趋势,以及评估结构和结构转变,以获得中国外商直接投资在区域和部门部门的结构转变的总体情况。研究的结果。过去二十年来,中国对外直接投资的特点是规模密集增长,抵御住了全球经济危机的影响;对其地理结构的分析表明,全球离岸区和给予外国投资者特权的国家的机会最大化这一特征是不变的;中国对外直接投资的行业结构有一定的变化规律,与中国五年计划确定的经济发展目标相一致,这使得在俄中合作领域预测和寻找解决办法成为可能;中国投资者越来越关注俄罗斯经济中的资本形成问题,这是一种趋势。此外,本文还对中国官方统计数据在投资过程信息方面提供给用户的分析能力进行了评估。对中国长期以来对外投资活动指标的统计分析,使我们能够评估和描述其作为世界上最大的投资者之一的战略行为,主要集中在解决长期发展自身经济和全球扩张的问题。鉴于近年来两国互动潜力的增加,对俄罗斯联邦来说,发展与中国的对外经济关系具有重要意义,这种研究的意义将会增加。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
175
期刊介绍: The Review of Economics and Statistics is a 100-year-old general journal of applied (especially quantitative) economics. Edited at the Harvard Kennedy School, the Review has published some of the most important articles in empirical economics.
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