IMPLEMENTASI ALGORITMA LEAST SQUARE UNTUK FORECASTING PADA TOKO MABEL

Nurul Fuad, Dedy Aprianto
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The people's purchasing power for wood-processed products has increased significantly, especially for home accessories such as doors, windows, tables, chairs, and so on. UD Jatisubur is a business selling various types of furniture. The purpose of this study is to apply the Least Square method to predict the sale of goods at the UD Jatisubur store. Prediction is a guess or estimate about the occurrence of events in the future. Prediction is the ability in a business to expect the purchase and use of a product until the product can be made in the correct quantity. Prediction is the process of estimating future demand. In sales activities, predictions are made to determine the number of sales on a product. In this application the method used is Least Square. The Least Square method is used to calculate the number of sales of goods in the following year, namely 2021. Data on sales of goods during 2016 to 2020 with items such as doors, windows, tables, chairs and cabinets. The results of the prediction of sales of goods in 2021, obtained as many as 103 doors with MAPE 14.247%, windows as many as 93 with MAPE 8.4755%, chairs as many as 21 with MAPE 6.7767%, tables as many as 12 with MAPE 3.8283%, and cupboards as many as 15 with a MAPE of 16.00413%.
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人民群众对木制品的购买力明显提高,特别是对门窗、桌椅等家居饰品的购买力明显提高。UD Jatisubur是一家销售各种类型家具的公司。本研究的目的是应用最小二乘法来预测UD Jatisubur商店的商品销售。预测是对未来事件发生的猜测或估计。预测是一种能力,在企业中,预测一种产品的购买和使用,直到该产品能够以正确的数量生产出来。预测是估计未来需求的过程。在销售活动中,进行预测是为了确定产品的销售数量。在这个应用中使用的方法是最小二乘法。使用最小二乘法计算下一年即2021年的商品销售数量。2016 - 2020年门窗桌椅橱柜等商品销售数据对2021年的商品销售进行预测的结果是,门多达103个,MAPE为14.247%,窗多达93个,MAPE为8.4755%,椅子多达21个,MAPE为6.7767%,桌子多达12个,MAPE为3.8283%,橱柜多达15个,MAPE为16.00413%。
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