Estimation of Wind Power Potential Using Weibull Distribution

A. Genç, Murat Erisoglu, A. Pekgor, G. Oturanç, A. Hepbasli, K. Ulgen
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引用次数: 102

Abstract

The main objective of the present study is to estimate wind power potential using the two Weibull parameters of the wind speed distribution function, the shape parameter k (dimensionless) and the scale parameter c (m/s). In this regard, a methodology that uses three various techniques (maximum likelihood, least squares, and method of moments) for estimating the Weibull parameters was given first. The methodology was then applied to a region in Turkey. Finally, the parameter techniques were compared to Monte-Carlo simulation in different sample sizes, and the best parameter estimation techniques belonging to the sample sizes were also determined.
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利用威布尔分布估计风电电势
本研究的主要目的是利用风速分布函数的两个威布尔参数,即形状参数k(无量纲)和尺度参数c (m/s)来估计风力发电潜力。在这方面,首先给出了一种使用三种不同技术(最大似然、最小二乘法和矩量法)估计威布尔参数的方法。然后将该方法应用于土耳其的一个地区。最后,将参数估计技术与蒙特卡罗模拟在不同样本量下进行了比较,确定了适合样本量的最佳参数估计技术。
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