The analysis of the technological efficiency of using stocks and the dynamics of oil production in Karazhanbas field

M. Karazhanova, O. G. Kirisenko, B. Koilybayev, L. B. Zhetekova
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Abstract

The traditional methods applied currently for the analysis of data of well operation in some cases, when it is necessary to make a decision in conditions of uncertainty, do not provide targeted results, and become unacceptable. In this view, the research surveys towards the advancement of the methods of analysis of well operation, and the estimation of the reliability of the downhole pumping equipment is of great importance. The main issue in the well operation in the complicated conditions is the deterioration of the parameters of well operation, which, in its turn, impact the technical-economic indexes of the development in a whole. The operation of the pumps is affected by numerous geological, and both technical and technological aspects. The wide-scale targeted studies for the evaluation of the efficiency of using well stock, the reasons of failures of downhole pumping equipment, the composition, dimensions and properties of the mechanical impurities are necessary in such conditions. The application of smart-of-the-art statistical methods in the process of analysis of the dynamics of oil production enabled to suggest a technique of forecasting the further production indexes, as well as to give a sound estimation for the technological efficiency of using well stock.
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卡拉赞巴斯油田储量利用技术效率及石油生产动态分析
在某些情况下,当需要在不确定的条件下做出决策时,传统的井作业数据分析方法不能提供目标结果,并且变得不可接受。在此基础上,对井运行分析方法的发展进行了研究,对井下泵送设备的可靠性评估具有重要意义。复杂条件下井作业的主要问题是井作业参数的恶化,进而影响整个开发的技术经济指标。泵的运行受到许多地质和技术方面的影响。在这种情况下,有必要进行大规模的有针对性的研究,以评估井料的使用效率、井下泵送设备故障的原因、机械杂质的组成、尺寸和性质。在石油生产动态分析过程中应用最先进的统计方法,提出了一种预测进一步生产指标的技术,并对利用井存量的技术效率给出了合理的估计。
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