Brexit: Causes and expected effects

Ž. F. Bugarčić, Marijana Šimić
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Abstract

The integration of countries and the formation of the common market, represent a desirable form of trade development and improving the level of development of individual economies. An example of a common market on the territory of Europe is the European Union, which has a unique legal and economic system applied by all member countries, as well as a unique system of customs and non-tariff barriers to nonmember countries. After the referendum held in June 2016, when the UK began the exit from EU, it turned out that not all countries shared the same views on the benefits from economic integration. Approximately 52% of citizens voted for exiting the EU when the withdrawal of this island country from the economic and political community of the European countries began. The aim of this paper is to identify the potential reasons for and effects of abandoning economic integration, based on Brexit case, as well as an assessment of the economic trends and effects that will occur in this particular case. Based on the results of the analyses carried out and collected secondary data, we can conclude that the causes and positive impact of Brexit will be felt only if the UK finds the best way for exiting the EU, which will almost certainly require a high degree of liberalization and maintenance of economic relations with the EU. This will enable the reduction of adverse effects, provide chances for the emergence of positive effects and justify the purpose of disintegration.
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英国脱欧:原因和预期影响
各国的一体化和共同市场的形成是一种理想的贸易发展形式,可以提高各个经济体的发展水平。欧洲领土上共同市场的一个例子是欧洲联盟,它有适用于所有成员国的独特的法律和经济制度,以及对非成员国的独特的海关和非关税壁垒制度。在2016年6月举行公投后,英国开始退出欧盟,事实证明,并非所有国家都对经济一体化的好处有相同的看法。当这个岛国开始退出欧洲国家的经济和政治共同体时,大约52%的公民投票支持退出欧盟。本文的目的是根据英国脱欧的情况,确定放弃经济一体化的潜在原因和影响,以及对这种特殊情况下将发生的经济趋势和影响的评估。根据所进行的分析和收集的二手数据的结果,我们可以得出结论,只有英国找到退出欧盟的最佳方式,才能感受到英国脱欧的原因和积极影响,这几乎肯定需要高度的自由化和维持与欧盟的经济关系。这将能够减少不利影响,为产生积极影响提供机会,并证明解体的目的是正当的。
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