DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES IN THE MODERN WORLD AS A FACTOR OF INTERNATIONAL SECURITY

Abstract

The demographic processes of the modern world in the context of international security are considered. The main focus is on the demographic situation in industrialized countries and developing countries. The nature of population growth in developing regions and the threat of uncontrolled migration are traced. The demographic problem of industrially developed countries - an increase in the proportion of the population of retirement age with a decrease in the proportion of the population of working age - is highlighted. It was revealed that the marginalization of the population, combined with the high mobility of the population, which is inherent in developing regions, creates the preconditions for further migration of the population, particularly to more developed regions, such a situation - a large percentage of mobile and young population in developing regions is a threat to socio-economic and political stability in developed regions, since a high standard of living, developed infrastructure, economic and social stability make developed regions attractive for migration from developing countries. It is analyzed that industrially developed regions have undergone a demographic transition, which has led to an increase in the proportion of the elderly population while the proportion of the working-age population has decreased, such demographic changes call into question the viability of the Welfare state model in the long term due to the lack of resources to support it, and a high standard of living actualizes the problem of uncontrolled migration from developing regions that have a surplus of population. The problem of institutional inefficiency in developing regions is considered, which can determine the problem of natural disasters, hunger, wars and epidemics and, as a consequence, a massive uncontrolled process of changing the place of residence, is a serious factor of regional and international security. The article analyzes how the demographic situation in the modern world is a challenge and threat to regional and international security.