Private Sector Profitability and Depreciation Pressure within Managed Floating Exchange Rate Regimes: Evidence from Nigeria

Oghenovo A. Obrimah
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

I find evidence for persistence in depreciation related currency pressure in the Naira to US$ exchange rate with persistence exacerbated by private sector profitability. The empirical evidence shows the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) reins in depreciation pressure induced within the private sector using buyback yields on Treasury Bills. Given the resultant appreciation of the Naira limits profitability within the private sector, this somewhat reactionary policy to exchange rate management simultaneously enables the CBN to manage investment risk within Nigeria's banking sector. My findings indicate managed floating or alternative hybrid exchange rate regimes can be especially appropriate in countries within which currency values erode with private sector profitability. In such countries, my findings indicate it is advantageous for Central Banks to be responsible for both bank regulation and monetary policy.
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管理浮动汇率制度下私营部门盈利能力和贬值压力:来自尼日利亚的证据
我发现有证据表明,奈拉对美元汇率持续存在贬值相关的货币压力,私营部门的盈利能力加剧了这种压力。经验证据表明,尼日利亚中央银行(CBN)利用国库券的回购收益率控制了私营部门内部引起的贬值压力。鉴于奈拉的升值限制了私营部门的盈利能力,这种有点保守的汇率管理政策同时使CBN能够管理尼日利亚银行业的投资风险。我的研究结果表明,有管理的浮动汇率或替代性混合汇率制度可能特别适用于那些货币价值随着私营部门盈利能力的下降而下降的国家。在这些国家,我的研究结果表明,中央银行同时负责银行监管和货币政策是有利的。
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