Geostrategy and Great Power Relations: A Reanalysis of the Basic Trends of Sino-Japanese Relations

Zhu Feng
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Abstract

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, China and Japan have fought against the epidemic through high-level contacts, donation and so on. The Chinese proverb “mountains and rivers on foreign land, wind and moon under the same sky” gave warmth of friendship to the bilateral relations. However, since Yoshihide Suga won the election, the Sino-Japanese relations have taken a worsening turn. The current Prime Minister Fumio Kishida further takes counterbalancing China as top priority. The “anti-COVID-19 diplomacy” in 2020 had very limited improvement on Sino-Japanese relations. It is clear that since the implementation of the U.S. strategic competition policy against China, Japan, without hesitation, turns to the “national interest theory” and “international contribution theory” by positioning to counterbalance China. Japan has become one of the few Asian countries that have completely sided with US in the China–US strategic competition. Since the normalization of Sino-Japanese relations, the principle of “good-neighborhood” has been totally replaced by the seemingly determined approach of “counterbalance” proposed by Japanese politicians. Japan has gone beyond the issue of its neighboring areas, trying to assist the United States’ strategic containment of China, which has added a new variable to China’s neighboring diplomacy.
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地缘战略与大国关系:中日关系基本趋势再分析
新冠肺炎疫情发生以来,中日两国通过高层接触、捐赠等方式抗击疫情。“异乡山河,同天风月”这句中国谚语,给两国关系注入了友谊的暖意。然而,自菅义伟赢得大选以来,中日关系出现了恶化。现任首相岸田文雄进一步将制衡中国作为首要任务。2020年的“抗疫外交”对中日关系的改善非常有限。显然,自美国对华战略竞争政策实施以来,日本毫不犹豫地通过定位转向“国家利益论”和“国际贡献论”来制衡中国。日本已成为亚洲少数几个在中美战略竞争中完全站在美国一边的国家之一。自中日关系正常化以来,“睦邻友好”原则完全被日本政客提出的看似坚决的“制衡”方针所取代。日本已经超越周边问题,试图协助美国对中国的战略遏制,这给中国的周边外交增添了新的变数。
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