Intergenerational Patterns in Offending: Lessons from the Rochester Intergenerational Study-ASC Division of Developmental and Life Course Criminology David P. Farrington Lecture, 2019.

IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Journal of Developmental and Life-Course Criminology Pub Date : 2020-12-01 Epub Date: 2020-09-02 DOI:10.1007/s40865-020-00150-8
Terence P Thornberry
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Abstract

Purpose: In recent years, criminology has seen an increase in the number of 3-generation, prospective studies of offending. The most fundamental question posed by these studies is whether, and to what extent, parental involvement in adolescent delinquency increases the risk of offending by their offspring. There are several important substantive and methodological challenges that need to be confronted in assessing the intergenerational effect including the examination of moderating influences that can change the level of intergenerational continuity and methodological issues as definitional elasticity-the impact on the level of intergenerational continuity that is likely to be observed based on a) how offending is defined and b) how the inherent heterogeneity in offending is taken into accounted.

Methods: To examine these issues I use data from the Rochester Intergenerational Study (RIGS), an extension of the original Rochester Youth Development Study (RYDS). RYDS began data collection in 1988 with a sample of 1000 adolescents and one of their parents. The intergenerational study began in 1999 by adding a third generation member - the oldest biological child of the initial adolescent participants - and following them over time with 19 annual assessments.

Results: Overall, there is a significant positive association between a parent's involvement in adolescent delinquency and the likelihood that their offspring will also be involved in delinquency. That overall relationship, however, masks substantial internal variability. The significance and size of the intergenerational effect varies by such factors as the level of ongoing contact between fathers and their children and the child's gender. It is also influenced by methodological considerations such as definitional elasticity. Under some definitions of delinquent behavior, a robust relationship between the parent's delinquency and the child's is observed while under other definitions there is no significant relationship.

Conclusion: There is, as of now, no clear and consistent answer to the question of whether or not children follow in the footsteps of their parents with respect to delinquency. The field of intergenerational study, which is still relatively new, needs to confront more directly and systematically how both substantive and methodological issues that can influence estimates of the intergenerational effect.

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犯罪的代际模式:罗切斯特代际研究的教训--美国犯罪学学会发展与生命历程犯罪学分会大卫-P-法林顿讲座,2019年。
目的:近年来,犯罪学领域对三代人犯罪的前瞻性研究越来越多。这些研究提出的最基本问题是,父母参与青少年犯罪是否会增加其后代犯罪的风险,以及增加的程度如何。在评估代际效应时,需要面对几个重要的实质性问题和方法论挑战,包括研究可能改变代际连续性水平的调节性影响因素,以及定义弹性等方法论问题--根据以下两个因素可能观察到的对代际连续性水平的影响:a) 如何定义犯罪;b) 如何考虑犯罪的内在异质性:为了研究这些问题,我使用了罗切斯特代际研究(Rochester Intergenerational Study,RIGS)的数据,该研究是最初的罗切斯特青年发展研究(Rochester Youth Development Study,RYDS)的延伸。RYDS 于 1988 年开始收集数据,样本为 1000 名青少年及其父母中的一人。代际研究于 1999 年开始,增加了第三代成员,即最初青少年参与者的最大亲生子女,并通过 19 次年度评估对他们进行长期跟踪:总体而言,父母参与青少年犯罪与他们的后代也参与犯罪的可能性之间存在明显的正相关关系。然而,这种总体关系掩盖了巨大的内部变异。代际效应的意义和大小因父亲与子女之间持续接触的程度和子女的性别等因素而异。它还受到方法论因素的影响,如定义弹性。根据某些犯罪行为的定义,可以观察到父母的犯罪行为与子女的犯罪行为之间存在密切的关系,而根据其他定义,则没有显著的关系:到目前为止,对于子女是否会追随父母犯罪的问题,还没有明确一致的答案。代际研究领域仍是一个相对较新的领域,需要更直接、更系统地面对可能影响代际效应估计值的实质性问题和方法论问题。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.00
自引率
10.50%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: The Journal of Developmental and Life Course Criminology seeks to advance knowledge and understanding of developmental dimensions of offending across the life-course.  Research that examines current theories, debates, and knowledge gaps within Developmental and Life Course Criminology is encouraged.  The journal welcomes theoretical papers, empirical papers, and papers that explore the translation of developmental and life-course research into policy and/or practice.  Papers that present original research or explore new directions for examination are also encouraged.   The journal also welcomes all rigorous methodological approaches and orientations.  The Journal of Developmental and Life Course Criminology encourages submissions from a broad array of related disciplines including but not limited to psychology, statistics, sociology, psychiatry, neuroscience, geography, political science, history, social work, epidemiology, public health, and economics.
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