Inclusion Bayes factors for mixed hierarchical diffusion decision models.

IF 7.6 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Psychological methods Pub Date : 2024-08-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-11 DOI:10.1037/met0000582
Udo Boehm, Nathan J Evans, Quentin F Gronau, Dora Matzke, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Andrew J Heathcote
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Abstract

Cognitive models provide a substantively meaningful quantitative description of latent cognitive processes. The quantitative formulation of these models supports cumulative theory building and enables strong empirical tests. However, the nonlinearity of these models and pervasive correlations among model parameters pose special challenges when applying cognitive models to data. Firstly, estimating cognitive models typically requires large hierarchical data sets that need to be accommodated by an appropriate statistical structure within the model. Secondly, statistical inference needs to appropriately account for model uncertainty to avoid overconfidence and biased parameter estimates. In the present work, we show how these challenges can be addressed through a combination of Bayesian hierarchical modeling and Bayesian model averaging. To illustrate these techniques, we apply the popular diffusion decision model to data from a collaborative selective influence study. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

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混合分层扩散决策模型的包容贝叶斯因子。
认知模型为潜在的认知过程提供了有实质意义的定量描述。这些模型的定量表述有助于累积理论的建立,并能进行强有力的实证检验。然而,这些模型的非线性以及模型参数之间普遍存在的相关性,给认知模型的数据应用带来了特殊的挑战。首先,认知模型的估算通常需要大量的分层数据集,而这些数据集需要通过模型内适当的统计结构来适应。其次,统计推断需要适当考虑模型的不确定性,以避免过度自信和有偏差的参数估计。在本研究中,我们展示了如何通过结合贝叶斯分层建模和贝叶斯模型平均来应对这些挑战。为了说明这些技术,我们将流行的扩散决策模型应用于一项合作选择性影响研究的数据中。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, 版权所有)。
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来源期刊
Psychological methods
Psychological methods PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
13.10
自引率
7.10%
发文量
159
期刊介绍: Psychological Methods is devoted to the development and dissemination of methods for collecting, analyzing, understanding, and interpreting psychological data. Its purpose is the dissemination of innovations in research design, measurement, methodology, and quantitative and qualitative analysis to the psychological community; its further purpose is to promote effective communication about related substantive and methodological issues. The audience is expected to be diverse and to include those who develop new procedures, those who are responsible for undergraduate and graduate training in design, measurement, and statistics, as well as those who employ those procedures in research.
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