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Simplicity, complexity, and the standardized mean difference between two independent groups. 简单性,复杂性和两个独立组之间的标准化平均差。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1037/met0000780
Paul Dudgeon
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引用次数: 0
SimDE App: Simulating and visualizing formal theories using differential equations. SimDE应用程序:模拟和可视化的形式理论使用微分方程。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1037/met0000807
Rohit Batra,Emorie D Beck,Meng Chen,Emilio Ferrer
Psychological theories are often expressed verbally using natural language, which may lead to varying interpretations of the phenomenon under study. This potential confusion can be mitigated by formalizing verbal theories using mathematical language, which can help in defining, analyzing, and interpreting one's hypotheses in quantitative terms. Differential equations (DEs) are a class of models in the dynamical systems framework, particularly suited to many dynamic theories in psychology. However, there is a lack of tools for translating verbal theories into DE systems. To facilitate this translation, we introduce SimDE (https://simde.ucdavis.edu/), an open-access R Shiny application that allows users to specify a DE model and then simulate the trajectories of each variable over time. SimDE provides an interface to simulate a range of DE models, with features such as: (a) first- or second-order DEs (e.g., exponential, oscillatory), (b) models with or without a dynamic error term (ordinary or stochastic DEs), (c) models with coupling dynamics. Users have the flexibility of plotting these systems in order to see the pattern of changes over time and determine the appropriateness of the model for the phenomenon they are trying to study. The goal of our app is to serve as a tool for researchers who want to explore DE models for their psychological theories before they even collect data. It can also help researchers to study the implicit assumptions of their systems defined with such DEs and further refine them as needed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
心理学理论通常是用自然语言口头表达的,这可能会导致对所研究现象的不同解释。这种潜在的困惑可以通过使用数学语言形式化口头理论来减轻,这有助于用定量术语定义、分析和解释一个人的假设。微分方程(DEs)是动力系统框架中的一类模型,特别适用于心理学中的许多动力学理论。然而,缺乏将语言理论转换为DE系统的工具。为了方便这种转换,我们介绍了SimDE (https://simde.ucdavis.edu/),这是一个开放访问的R Shiny应用程序,允许用户指定DE模型,然后模拟每个变量随时间的轨迹。SimDE提供了一个界面来模拟一系列DE模型,其特征包括:(a)一阶或二阶DE(例如,指数,振荡),(b)有或没有动态误差项的模型(普通或随机DE), (c)具有耦合动力学的模型。用户可以灵活地绘制这些系统,以便看到随时间变化的模式,并确定模型是否适合他们试图研究的现象。我们的应用程序的目标是为那些想要在收集数据之前为他们的心理学理论探索DE模型的研究人员提供工具。它还可以帮助研究人员研究用这些de定义的系统的隐含假设,并根据需要进一步完善它们。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Ricci curvature and the stream of thought. 利玛窦曲率与思想之流。
IF 7 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1037/met0000809
Yinon Nachshon,Haim Cohen,Paz M Naim,Emil Saucan,Anat Maril
This study investigates the dynamics of semantic associations by exploring the interplay between continuity and direction in a geometric semantic space. While acknowledging the role of continuity in guiding associations, our work introduces Direction as a crucial factor influencing transitions. Conceptually, we define the stream of associations as movement along a sequence of objects, with attention amplifying dissimilarity and progressing in the direction of maximal resolution, conceptualized as the most "stretched" direction. The core of our methodological innovation lies in the introduction of a unique adaptation of discrete Ricci curvature to measure the direction of maximal resolution, tailored specifically to a hypergraph framework. By reinterpreting traditional curvature concepts within this context, we provide a novel quantitative approach to understanding semantic transitions. Empirically, our investigation involves a categorical fluency task where participants name animals, allowing us to construct a hypergraph for transition analysis. We evaluate two hypotheses: the relationship between edge "stretchiness" and transition probability, and the enhanced explanatory power of considering Similarity + Direction over similarity alone. Our model challenges the standard view by proposing that the stream of thought moves in the direction of maximal resolution. By introducing the concept of Ricci curvature in a hypernetwork, we offer a novel tool for quantifying resolution and demonstrate its practical application in the context of semantic space. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
本研究通过探索几何语义空间中连续性和方向性之间的相互作用来研究语义关联的动态。在承认连续性在指导协会中的作用的同时,我们的工作引入了方向作为影响过渡的关键因素。从概念上讲,我们将联想流定义为沿着一系列对象的运动,注意放大差异,并朝着最大分辨率的方向前进,概念化为最“拉伸”的方向。我们方法创新的核心在于引入了一种独特的离散里奇曲率来测量最大分辨率的方向,专门为超图框架量身定制。通过在这种情况下重新解释传统的曲率概念,我们提供了一种新的定量方法来理解语义转换。根据经验,我们的调查涉及到一个分类流畅性任务,参与者命名动物,允许我们构建一个超图进行过渡分析。我们评估了两个假设:边缘“拉伸”与转移概率之间的关系,以及考虑相似性+方向比单独考虑相似性更强的解释力。我们的模型通过提出思想流在最大分辨率的方向上运动来挑战标准观点。通过在超网络中引入Ricci曲率的概念,我们提供了一种量化分辨率的新工具,并展示了其在语义空间中的实际应用。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
What are the mathematical bounds for coefficient α? 系数α的数学界限是什么?
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-25 DOI: 10.1037/met0000583
Niels Waller, William Revelle

Coefficient α, although ubiquitous in the research literature, is frequently criticized for being a poor estimate of test reliability. In this note, we consider the range of α and prove that it has no lower bound (i.e., α ∈ ( - ∞, 1]). While outlining our proofs, we present algorithms for generating data sets that will yield any fixed value of α in its range. We also prove that for some data sets-even those with appreciable item correlations-α is undefined. Although α is a putative estimate of the correlation between parallel forms, it is not a correlation as α can assume any value below-1 (and α values below 0 are nonsensical reliability estimates). In the online supplemental materials, we provide R code for replicating our empirical findings and for generating data sets with user-defined α values. We hope that researchers will use this code to better understand the limitations of α as an index of scale reliability. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

系数α虽然在研究文献中无处不在,但经常被批评为测试信度的不良估计。本文考虑α的值域,并证明它没有下界(即α∈(-∞,1])。在概述我们的证明时,我们提出了生成数据集的算法,这些数据集将产生α在其范围内的任何固定值。我们也证明了对于一些数据集——甚至那些具有明显项目相关性的数据集——α是未定义的。虽然α是平行形式之间相关性的假定估计,但它不是相关性,因为α可以假设低于1的任何值(α值低于0是无意义的可靠性估计)。在在线补充材料中,我们提供了R代码来复制我们的经验发现,并生成具有用户定义的α值的数据集。我们希望研究人员将使用这个代码来更好地理解α作为量表可靠性指标的局限性。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
On estimating the frequency of a target behavior from time-constrained yes/no survey questions: A parametric approach based on the Poisson process. 从时间约束的是/否调查问题中估计目标行为的频率:基于泊松过程的参数化方法。
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-07-20 DOI: 10.1037/met0000588
Benedikt Iberl, Rolf Ulrich

We propose a novel method to analyze time-constrained yes/no questions about a target behavior (e.g., "Did you take sleeping pills during the last 12 months?"). A drawback of these questions is that the relative frequency of answering these questions with "yes" does not allow one to draw definite conclusions about the frequency of the target behavior (i.e., how often sleeping pills were taken) nor about the prevalence of trait carriers (i.e., percentage of people that take sleeping pills). Here we show how this information can be extracted from the results of such questions employing a prevalence curve and a Poisson model. The applicability of the method was evaluated with a survey on everyday behavior, which revealed plausible results and reasonable model fit. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

我们提出了一种新的方法来分析关于目标行为的有时间限制的是/否问题(例如,“你在过去的12个月里吃过安眠药吗?”)。这些问题的一个缺点是,回答“是”的相对频率不能让一个人对目标行为的频率(即,服用安眠药的频率)或特质携带者的流行程度(即,服用安眠药的人的百分比)得出明确的结论。在这里,我们展示了如何利用流行曲线和泊松模型从这些问题的结果中提取这些信息。通过对日常行为的调查评估了该方法的适用性,结果表明该方法的结果合理,模型拟合合理。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
A sensitivity analysis for temporal bias in cross-sectional mediation. 横截面调解中时间偏差的敏感性分析。
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-21 DOI: 10.1037/met0000628
A R Georgeson, Diana Alvarez-Bartolo, David P MacKinnon

For over three decades, methodologists have cautioned against the use of cross-sectional mediation analyses because they yield biased parameter estimates. Yet, cross-sectional mediation models persist in practice and sometimes represent the only analytic option. We propose a sensitivity analysis procedure to encourage a more principled use of cross-sectional mediation analysis, drawing inspiration from Gollob and Reichardt (1987, 1991). The procedure is based on the two-wave longitudinal mediation model and uses phantom variables for the baseline data. After a researcher provides ranges of possible values for cross-lagged, autoregressive, and baseline Y and M correlations among the phantom and observed variables, they can use the sensitivity analysis to identify longitudinal conditions in which conclusions from a cross-sectional model would differ most from a longitudinal model. To support the procedure, we first show that differences in sign and effect size of the b-path occur most often when the cross-sectional effect size of the b-path is small and the cross-lagged and the autoregressive correlations are equal or similar in magnitude. We then apply the procedure to cross-sectional analyses from real studies and compare the sensitivity analysis results to actual results from a longitudinal mediation analysis. While no statistical procedure can replace longitudinal data, these examples demonstrate that the sensitivity analysis can recover the effect that was actually observed in the longitudinal data if provided with the correct input information. Implications of the routine application of sensitivity analysis to temporal bias are discussed. R code for the procedure is provided in the online supplementary materials. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

三十多年来,方法论专家一直告诫人们不要使用横截面中介分析,因为它们会产生有偏差的参数估计。然而,横截面中介模型在实践中依然存在,有时甚至是唯一的分析选择。我们从 Gollob 和 Reichardt(1987,1991)那里得到启发,提出了一种敏感性分析程序,以鼓励更有原则地使用横截面中介分析。该程序以两波纵向中介模型为基础,使用幻象变量作为基线数据。在研究人员提供了幽灵变量和观察变量之间的交叉滞后、自回归、基线 Y 和 M 相关性的可能值范围后,他们就可以使用敏感性分析来确定纵向条件,在这些条件下,横截面模型的结论与纵向模型的结论差异最大。为了支持这一程序,我们首先表明,当 b 路径的横截面效应大小较小,且交叉滞后相关性和自回归相关性的大小相等或相似时,b 路径的符号和效应大小的差异最常出现。然后,我们将该程序应用于实际研究的横截面分析,并将敏感性分析结果与纵向中介分析的实际结果进行比较。虽然没有任何统计程序可以取代纵向数据,但这些例子表明,如果提供正确的输入信息,灵敏度分析可以恢复纵向数据中实际观察到的效果。本文讨论了将灵敏度分析常规应用于时间偏差的意义。在线补充材料中提供了程序的 R 代码。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, 版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
The case for the curve: Parametric regression with second- and third-order polynomial functions of predictors should be routine. 曲线的情况:使用预测因子的二阶和三阶多项式函数进行参数回归应该是常规做法。
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1037/met0000629
Edward Kroc, Oscar L Olvera Astivia

Polynomial regression is an old and commonly discussed modeling technique, though recommendations for its usage are widely variable. Here, we make the case that polynomial regression with second- and third-order terms should be part of every applied practitioners standard model-building toolbox, and should be taught to new students of the subject as the default technique to model nonlinearity. We argue that polynomial regression is superior to nonparametric alternatives for nonstatisticians due to its ease of interpretation, flexibility, and its nonreliance on sophisticated mathematics, like knots and kernel smoothing. This makes it the ideal default for nonstatisticians interested in building realistic models that can capture global as well as local effects of predictors on a response variable. Low-order polynomial regression can effectively model compact floor and ceiling effects, local linearity, and prevent inferring the presence of spurious interaction effects between distinct predictors when none are present. We also argue that the case against polynomial regression is largely specious, relying on either misconceptions around the method, strawman arguments, or historical artifacts. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

多项式回归是一种古老而常被讨论的建模技术,但对其使用的建议却众说纷纭。在这里,我们提出的理由是,带有二阶和三阶项的多项式回归应该成为每个应用实践者标准建模工具箱的一部分,并且应该作为非线性建模的默认技术教授给该学科的新生。我们认为,对于非统计人员来说,多项式回归优于非参数回归,因为它易于解释、具有灵活性,而且不依赖于复杂的数学,如结和核平滑。这使得它成为有兴趣建立现实模型的非统计人员的理想默认设置,这些模型可以捕捉到预测因子对响应变量的整体和局部影响。低阶多项式回归可以有效地模拟紧凑的下限和上限效应、局部线性,并防止在不同预测因子之间不存在相互作用效应的情况下推断出虚假的相互作用效应。我们还认为,反对多项式回归的理由大多似是而非,要么是对该方法的误解,要么是稻草人论点,要么是历史伪命题。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, 版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Using group level factor models to resolve high dimensionality in model-based sampling. 在基于模型的抽样中使用组级因子模型解决高维度问题。
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1037/met0000618
Niek Stevenson, Reilly J Innes, Quentin F Gronau, Steven Miletić, Andrew Heathcote, Birte U Forstmann, Scott D Brown

Joint modeling of decisions and neural activation poses the potential to provide significant advances in linking brain and behavior. However, methods of joint modeling have been limited by difficulties in estimation, often due to high dimensionality and simultaneous estimation challenges. In the current article, we propose a method of model estimation that draws on state-of-the-art Bayesian hierarchical modeling techniques and uses factor analysis as a means of dimensionality reduction and inference at the group level. This hierarchical factor approach can adopt any model for the individual and distill the relationships of its parameters across individuals through a factor structure. We demonstrate the significant dimensionality reduction gained by factor analysis and good parameter recovery, and illustrate a variety of factor loading constraints that can be used for different purposes and research questions, as well as three applications of the method to previously analyzed data. We conclude that this method provides a flexible and usable approach with interpretable outcomes that are primarily data-driven, in contrast to the largely hypothesis-driven methods often used in joint modeling. Although we focus on joint modeling methods, this model-based estimation approach could be used for any high dimensional modeling problem. We provide open-source code and accompanying tutorial documentation to make the method accessible to any researchers. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

决策和神经激活的联合建模有可能为大脑和行为之间的联系带来重大进展。然而,联合建模的方法一直受到估计困难的限制,这通常是由于高维度和同步估计的挑战。在这篇文章中,我们提出了一种模型估计方法,它借鉴了最先进的贝叶斯分层建模技术,并使用因子分析作为群体层面的降维和推断手段。这种分层因子方法可以采用任何个体模型,并通过因子结构提炼出个体间的参数关系。我们展示了因子分析显著的降维效果和良好的参数恢复能力,并说明了可用于不同目的和研究问题的各种因子载荷约束,以及该方法在先前分析数据中的三个应用。我们的结论是,与联合建模中常用的主要以假设为导向的方法相比,这种方法提供了一种灵活可用的方法,其结果主要以数据为导向,可解释性强。虽然我们关注的是联合建模方法,但这种基于模型的估计方法可用于任何高维建模问题。我们提供了开源代码和随附的教程文档,使任何研究人员都能使用这种方法。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, 版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Yes stormtrooper, these are the droids you are looking for: Identifying and preliminarily evaluating bot and fraud detection strategies in online psychological research. 是的,暴风兵,这些就是你要找的机器人:识别和初步评估在线心理研究中的机器人和欺诈检测策略。
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-03 DOI: 10.1037/met0000724
Thomas J Shaw, Cory J Cascalheira, Emily C Helminen, Cal D Brisbin, Skyler D Jackson, Melissa Simone, Tami P Sullivan, Abigail W Batchelder, Jillian R Scheer

Bots (i.e., automated software programs that perform various tasks) and fraudulent responders pose a growing and costly threat to psychological research as well as affect data integrity. However, few studies have been published on this topic. (a) Describe our experience with bots and fraudulent responders using a case study, (b) present various bot and fraud detection tactics (BFDTs) and identify the number of suspected bot and fraudulent respondents removed, (c) propose a consensus confidence system for eliminating bots and fraudulent responders to determine the number of BFDTs researchers should use, and (d) examine the initial effectiveness of dynamic versus static BFDT protocols. This study is part of a larger 14-day experience sampling method study with trauma-exposed sexual minority cisgender women and transgender and/or nonbinary people. Faced with several bot and fraudulent responder infiltrations during data collection, we developed an evolving BFDT protocol to eliminate bots and fraudulent responders. Throughout this study, we received 24,053 responses on our baseline survey. After applying our BFDT protocols, we eliminated 99.75% of respondents that were likely bots or fraudulent responders. Some BFDTs seemed to be more effective and afford higher confidence than others, dynamic protocols seemed to be more effective than static protocols, and bots and fraudulent responders introduced significant bias in the results. This study advances online psychological research by curating one of the largest samples of bot and fraudulent respondents and pilot testing the largest number of BFDTs to date. Recommendations for future research are provided. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

机器人(即执行各种任务的自动化软件程序)和欺诈性应答者对心理学研究构成了日益增长的、代价高昂的威胁,并影响了数据的完整性。然而,关于这一主题的研究很少发表。(a)通过案例研究描述我们在机器人和欺诈性应答者方面的经验,(b)提出各种机器人和欺诈检测策略(BFDT),并确定被删除的可疑机器人和欺诈应答者的数量,(c)提出一个共识信任系统,用于消除机器人和欺诈性应答者,以确定研究人员应该使用的BFDT数量,以及(d)检查动态与静态BFDT协议的初始有效性。这项研究是一项更大的为期14天的经验抽样方法研究的一部分,研究对象是暴露在创伤中的性少数、顺性、变性和/或非二元性别的女性。在数据收集过程中,面对一些bot和欺诈性应答器渗透,我们开发了一个不断发展的BFDT协议来消除bot和欺诈性应答器。在整个研究过程中,我们在基线调查中收到了24053份回复。在应用BFDT协议后,我们消除了99.75%的可能是机器人或欺诈性应答者的应答者。一些bfdt似乎比其他bfdt更有效,提供更高的置信度,动态协议似乎比静态协议更有效,机器人和欺诈性应答者在结果中引入了显著的偏差。这项研究通过策划最大的机器人和欺诈性受访者样本之一,以及迄今为止最大数量的bfdt试点测试,推进了在线心理学研究。对今后的研究提出了建议。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA,版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
Using Bayesian item response theory for multicohort repeated measure design to estimate individual latent change scores. 在多队列重复测量设计中使用贝叶斯项目反应理论估算个体潜在变化分数。
IF 7.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1037/met0000635
Chun Wang, Ruoyi Zhu, Paul K Crane, Seo-Eun Choi, Richard N Jones, Douglas Tommet

Repeated measure data design has been used extensively in a wide range of fields, such as brain aging or developmental psychology, to answer important research questions exploring relationships between trajectory of change and external variables. In many cases, such data may be collected from multiple study cohorts and harmonized, with the intention of gaining higher statistical power and enhanced external validity. When psychological constructs are measured using survey scales, a fundamental psychometric challenge for data harmonization is to create commensurate measures for the constructs of interest across studies. Traditional analysis may fit a unidimensional item response theory model to data from one time point and one cohort to obtain item parameters and fix the same parameters in subsequent analyses. Such a simplified approach ignores item residual dependencies in the repeated measure design on one hand, and on the other hand, it does not exploit accumulated information from different cohorts. Instead, two alternative approaches should serve such data designs much better: an integrative approach using multiple-group two-tier model via concurrent calibration, and if such calibration fails to converge, a Bayesian sequential calibration approach that uses informative priors on common items to establish the scale. Both approaches use a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that handles computational complexity well. Through a simulation study and an empirical study using Alzheimer's diseases neuroimage initiative cognitive battery data (i.e., language and executive functioning), we conclude that latent change scores obtained from these two alternative approaches are more precisely recovered. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

重复测量数据设计已被广泛应用于大脑衰老或发展心理学等多个领域,以回答探索变化轨迹与外部变量之间关系的重要研究问题。在许多情况下,此类数据可能是从多个研究队列中收集并统一的,目的是获得更高的统计能力和更强的外部效度。在使用调查量表测量心理结构时,数据协调的一个基本心理测量挑战是为不同研究中的相关结构创建相称的测量方法。传统的分析方法可能会对一个时间点和一个队列的数据拟合一个单维度的项目反应理论模型,以获得项目参数,并在后续分析中固定相同的参数。这种简化方法一方面忽略了重复测量设计中的项目残差依赖性,另一方面也无法利用不同队列中积累的信息。取而代之的是两种更适合此类数据设计的方法:一种是通过同时校准使用多组双层模型的综合方法,另一种是在校准失败的情况下使用贝叶斯序列校准方法,该方法使用共同项目的信息先验来建立量表。这两种方法都使用马尔科夫链蒙特卡罗算法,能很好地处理计算复杂性。通过模拟研究和使用阿尔茨海默氏症神经影像倡议认知电池数据(即语言和执行功能)进行的实证研究,我们得出结论:从这两种替代方法中获得的潜在变化分数可以更精确地恢复。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, 版权所有)。
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引用次数: 0
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Psychological methods
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