指数巨灾证券

S. H. Seog, Jangkoo Kang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

指数巨灾证券(CAT)的最新发展是保险文献关注的问题。我们将现有的两种主要解释称为系统风险理论和道德风险理论。在系统风险方法下,系统风险部分通过指数触发证券进行对冲,剩余的非系统风险部分通过包括传统保险在内的赔偿触发工具进行对冲。在道德风险方法下,指数投资可以保护公司免受损失,而不会引发道德风险问题。我们认为,在这两种方法中,索引最多是补充。我们建议为CAT证券编制索引的两个可选理由。首先,如果公司关心的是下行风险而不是变化,那么指数是最优的,因为指数可以消除下行风险,而不会产生上行风险的成本。收益的数额是通过平衡融资成本和下行风险成本来确定的。其次,损失的可观察性是编制指数的另一个关键因素,即使公司考虑的是可变性。我们认为高观测成本的重要来源是:(i)识别CAT损失的固有困难;(ii)在CAT事件下,债券持有人不可能接管公司;(iii)来自CAT事件的现金流与来自公司其他业务的现金流之间的不可分割性。
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Indexing Catastrophe Securities
The recent development of indexed catastrophe (CAT) securities is a concern in the insurance literature. We refer to the two existing prominent explanations as the systematic risk approach and the moral hazard approach. Under the systematic risk approach, the systematic risk portion is hedged by index-triggered securities, and the remaining nonsystematic risk is hedged through indemnity-triggered vehicles including traditional insurance. Under the moral hazard approach, indexing protects firms from losses without incurring moral hazard problems. We argue that indexing is at most supplementary in both approaches. We suggest two alternative rationales for indexing CAT securities. First, if firms are concerned with downside risks rather than variation, then indexing is optimal, since indexing can remove downside risks without incurring costs for upside risks. The amount of proceeds is determined by balancing financing costs and costs of downside risks. Second, the observability of loss is another key factor for indexing, even when firms are concerned with variability. We identify the important sources of high observation costs as (i) the inherent difficulty in identifying CAT losses; (ii) the impossibility of taking over the firm by the bondholders under a CAT event; and (iii) the non-separability of cash flows between from a CAT event and from other operations of the firm.
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