东盟、中国与南海:安全合作的替代途径

Zhe Yang, S. D. Chandran, Yinliang Zhao
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摘要

本文分析了东盟与中国的合作现状及合作机制,重点分析了南海空间的非传统安全问题。南海面临的非传统安全威胁复杂多样、规模巨大。其中包括跨国海上犯罪、海洋灾害威胁、海洋生态环境威胁和资源匮乏。当前趋势表明,中国与东盟在南海非传统安全合作方面的既有机制存在碎片化,主要原因是缺乏综合性、长效机制。阻碍合作进程加快的原因有三:外部势力的干涉、中国与东盟国家之间政治互信不足、“南海行为准则”的声索国和利益分歧。本文旨在分析中国与东盟在处理非传统安全合作中存在的问题及其原因。报告还审查了基于规则的合作机制的有效性,并提出了一些建议。文章认为,东盟和中国应利用非传统安全问题低敏感性和“一带一路”高质量发展的优势,共同构建基于规则和秩序的南海多边非传统安全合作一体化框架。为推动中国与东盟在南海非传统安全合作,提出了三点可行措施。双方,主要是东盟声索国,都有良好的合作意愿,可以促进功能性合作,推广成功的海上合作模式作为南海长期合作机制,重点加强海洋治理能力建设,全面建立海洋环境保护和渔业资源管理多边合作机制。
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ASEAN, China and South China Sea: Alternative approach for security cooperation
This article analyzes the status quo and cooperation mechanism between ASEAN and China, mainly, the non-traditional security issues in the South China Sea space (SCS). The non-traditional security threats confronting the SCS are complex, diverse and enormous. Amongst those are transnational maritime crimes, marine disaster threat, marine ecological environmental threat, and resource scarcity. Recent trends have demonstrated that the established regimes between ASEAN and China, for non-traditional security cooperation in the SCS, are fragmented mainly due to the absence of integrated and long-term mechanisms. Three reasons hinder the acceleration of the cooperation process: interference from outside powers, insufficient mutual political trust between China and ASEAN members, claimants and divergence of interests in advancing the Code of Conduct (COC) in the SCS. This article aims to analyze the problems and the causes existing between China and ASEAN in dealing with non-traditional security cooperation. It also examines the effectiveness of the rules-based cooperation mechanisms and offers a few recommendations. It is argued that ASEAN and China should take advantage of the low sensitivity of non-traditional security issues and high-quality development of the One Belt and One Road Initiative, to construct an integrated framework based on rules jointly and order for multilateral non-traditional security cooperation in the SCS. Three possible and workable measures are recommended to facilitate non-traditional security cooperation between ASEAN and China in the SCS. Both sides, primarily ASEAN member claimants, pursue an excellent willingness to cooperate and could promote functional cooperation, promote successful maritime cooperation modes as long-term cooperation mechanisms in the SCS, focus on strengthening the capacity-building of marine governance, and comprehensively establish a multilateral cooperation mechanism in marine environmental protection and fishery resources management.
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