零部件供应链风险及其对供应链和航运业的影响——以汽车行业为例

Byeong-Il Choi, Han-Byul Ryu, Sun-Kyu Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近期,新冠肺炎疫情导致集装箱港口关闭、集装箱船队数量减少、最终需求不稳定等多种风险因素对营商环境产生不利影响。这种负面影响可能会阻碍公司实现其目标。因此,有必要识别风险,并根据风险的影响因素实施适当的风险管理策略。本文分析了供应链风险对国内汽车生产网络和海运汽车运输船市场的影响。我们量化了国内汽车生产过程中出现的供应链风险,并运用向量汽车回归模型分析了这些风险对汽车供应链和纯汽车载体市场的影响。此外,利用冲击反应函数分析了供应链风险向汽车生产和纯汽车载体市场延伸的过程。通过对市场条件的有效反应,本研究将有助于制定生产计划的长期和短期目标,并界定企业战略。
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Risks in Parts Supply Chain and Their Impact on Supply Chains and Shipping Sector: Focusing on Automobile Industry
Of late, various risk factors, such as the closure of container ports due to the COVID-19 pandemic, decline in container fleets, and instability in final demand, have had a detrimental impact on the business environment. Such negative effects could prevent companies from achieving their goals. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the risk and implement appropriate risk management strategies based on the impact factors of the risk. This study analyzed the impact of supply chain risks on the domestic automobile production network and maritime car carrier market. We quantified supply chain risks that arise in domestic automobile production processes and employed the vector auto regression models to analyze the effects of these risks on the automobile supply chain and pure car carrier market. In addition, using impact reaction function, we analyzed the process through which the risk in the supply chain extends to automobile production and pure car carrier market. It is expected that this study will help set long-term and short-term targets for production plans and demarcate corporate strategies through effective response to market conditions.
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