基于改进灰色RBF神经网络模型的水位预测

Jian Zhang, Yuansheng Lou
{"title":"基于改进灰色RBF神经网络模型的水位预测","authors":"Jian Zhang, Yuansheng Lou","doi":"10.1109/IMCEC.2016.7867315","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"For in RBF neural network prediction results by random sample of thus affecting prediction accuracy, using the grey prediction model of RBF network is trained, can weaken the randomness of data greatly, so the combination of neural network and grey prediction, construct grey RBF neural network by network model, and hydrological forecasting can improve the accuracy of hydrological forecast. But if the gray scale data is large, due to the parameters of the model of GM (1,1, θ), leads to poor prediction accuracy. In this regard, GM (1, 1, θ) model and use ant colony algorithm to improve its, and the prediction precision can be improved In the construction of RBF network, due to the implicit function node has been relying on the actual experience to determine, with instability, and choose to use the golden section method to determine the hidden nodes. The forecast results show that the grey RBF neural network forecasting model has higher precision and better generalization ability, and it has practical value.","PeriodicalId":218222,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE Advanced Information Management, Communicates, Electronic and Automation Control Conference (IMCEC)","volume":"116 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"6","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Water level prediction based on improved grey RBF neural network model\",\"authors\":\"Jian Zhang, Yuansheng Lou\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/IMCEC.2016.7867315\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"For in RBF neural network prediction results by random sample of thus affecting prediction accuracy, using the grey prediction model of RBF network is trained, can weaken the randomness of data greatly, so the combination of neural network and grey prediction, construct grey RBF neural network by network model, and hydrological forecasting can improve the accuracy of hydrological forecast. But if the gray scale data is large, due to the parameters of the model of GM (1,1, θ), leads to poor prediction accuracy. In this regard, GM (1, 1, θ) model and use ant colony algorithm to improve its, and the prediction precision can be improved In the construction of RBF network, due to the implicit function node has been relying on the actual experience to determine, with instability, and choose to use the golden section method to determine the hidden nodes. The forecast results show that the grey RBF neural network forecasting model has higher precision and better generalization ability, and it has practical value.\",\"PeriodicalId\":218222,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2016 IEEE Advanced Information Management, Communicates, Electronic and Automation Control Conference (IMCEC)\",\"volume\":\"116 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"6\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2016 IEEE Advanced Information Management, Communicates, Electronic and Automation Control Conference (IMCEC)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/IMCEC.2016.7867315\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2016 IEEE Advanced Information Management, Communicates, Electronic and Automation Control Conference (IMCEC)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/IMCEC.2016.7867315","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6

摘要

对于在RBF神经网络预测结果中受到随机样本的影响从而影响预测精度,利用RBF网络的灰色预测模型进行训练,可以大大削弱数据的随机性,因此将神经网络与灰色预测相结合,通过网络模型构建灰色RBF神经网络,进行水文预测,可以提高水文预测的精度。但当灰度数据较大时,由于模型的参数GM为(1,1,θ),导致预测精度较差。对此,采用GM (1,1, θ)模型并利用蚁群算法对其进行改进,其预测精度可以得到提高。在构建RBF网络时,由于隐式函数节点一直依靠实际经验来确定,具有不稳定性,而选择使用黄金分割法来确定隐式节点。预测结果表明,灰色RBF神经网络预测模型具有较高的精度和较好的泛化能力,具有实用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Water level prediction based on improved grey RBF neural network model
For in RBF neural network prediction results by random sample of thus affecting prediction accuracy, using the grey prediction model of RBF network is trained, can weaken the randomness of data greatly, so the combination of neural network and grey prediction, construct grey RBF neural network by network model, and hydrological forecasting can improve the accuracy of hydrological forecast. But if the gray scale data is large, due to the parameters of the model of GM (1,1, θ), leads to poor prediction accuracy. In this regard, GM (1, 1, θ) model and use ant colony algorithm to improve its, and the prediction precision can be improved In the construction of RBF network, due to the implicit function node has been relying on the actual experience to determine, with instability, and choose to use the golden section method to determine the hidden nodes. The forecast results show that the grey RBF neural network forecasting model has higher precision and better generalization ability, and it has practical value.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
High performance path following for UAV based on advanced vector field guidance law Design of autonomous underwater vehicle positioning system Temperature field simulation of herringbone grooved bearing based on FLUENT software Docker based overlay network performance evaluation in large scale streaming system Multi-channel automatic calibration system of pressure sensor
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1