中国黄金现货市场的信息传递效率:基于随机行走和自举方差比法的检验

Liu Xiaozhou, W. Yunfei
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引用次数: 3

摘要

中国为资本市场的信息传递效率提供了一个很好的实证案例研究。本文基于更多的新数据对已有的研究进行了扩展,并采用个体、子抽样和野自举方差比方法对信息传递的效率进行了检验。实证结果表明,黄金价格有效地反映了所有过去的信息,没有人可以连续获得异常收益。中国黄金现货价格遵循随机漫步规律,黄金现货市场是弱形式的效率市场。
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Information Transmitting Efficiency in China Gold Spot Market: A Random Walk Test with Wild and Bootstrap Variance Ratio Method
China provides an excellent empirical case study on the information transmitting efficiency in the capital market. Our paper extend the existing investigation based on much more new data and test the efficiency of information transmitting with Individual, Sub-sampling and Wild bootstrap Variance Ratio method. The empirical results show that gold prices reflect all the past information efficiently and no one can get abnormal return continuously. The China gold spot price followed Random Walk and the gold spot market is a weak-form efficiency market.
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