金融危机和新冠肺炎疫情对波兰谷物价格的影响

Łukasz Krajewski, M. Witkowska-Dąbrowska, Ilisio Manuel De Jesus
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摘要

这篇文章提出了全球危机对粮食价格市场影响的问题。小麦、黑麦、大麦、燕麦和混合谷物以及玉米的价格被提交分析。该研究的目的是确定金融危机和Covid-19大流行对波兰谷物价格的影响。提出了两个研究假设。第一个假设是由于2007-2009年的金融危机,谷物价格上涨。第二个研究假设是新冠疫情导致谷物价格市场波动。为了验证这些假设,使用GUS中央统计局(波兰统计局)的数据完成了一项分析,此外,还审查了经济学和农业领域的相关参考文献。根据这项研究,得出的结论是,2007-2009年的金融危机和2019冠状病毒病大流行对波兰谷物价格产生了重大影响。
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Influence of a Financial Crisis and the Covid-19 Pandemic on Prices of Cereals in Poland
This article raises the question of the impact of global crises on the grain price market. Prices of wheat, rye, barley, oat and cereal mixture as well as maize were submitted to analysis. The aim of the study was to determine the influence of a financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic on prices of cereals in Poland. Two research hypotheses were put forth. The first one assumed that prices of cereals increased due to the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The second research hypothesis was that the Covid-19 pandemic caused fluctuations on the cereal price market. To verify these hypotheses, an analysis was completed using data from the GUS Central Statistical Office (Statistics Poland) In addition, relevant references from the fields of economics and agriculture were reviewed. Based on this study, it has been concluded that both the 2007-2009 financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic had significant effects on prices of cereals in Poland.
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