欧盟-俄罗斯能源政策:为什么不连贯和无效?

P. Chatterjee
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摘要

苏联解体后,俄罗斯在政治和经济上都处于弱势,几乎没有讨价还价的能力。欧盟(EU)与俄罗斯启动了几项政策工具,以支持后者的经济。一些前苏联加盟共和国成为欧盟成员国,增加了欧盟的规模和实力。然而,普京成为俄罗斯总统后,欧俄关系的动态发生了变化。普京的目标是通过国家控制俄罗斯国内外的战略部门,使俄罗斯成为“能源超级大国”。除了成为天然气行业的国有垄断企业外,俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司还通过收购欧盟的下游资产进行扩张。然而,《外国战略投资法》在很大程度上阻碍了任何外国投资在俄罗斯的参与。欧盟也同样在2009年推出了第三个能源一揽子计划,为Gazprom的扩张计划设置了障碍。冷战的幽灵萦绕着欧俄关系,这种关系已经充满了神话、不信任和政治对峙。欧盟希望俄罗斯投资能源部门并增加产量,但它仍将推动能源独立作为一项政策目标。毫不奇怪,俄罗斯希望与欧盟中的个别国家打交道,而不是与欧盟作为一个整体打交道,以保护自己的利益。这导致欧盟分裂,一些国家追求各自的能源安全议程,而另一些国家则公开反对任何形式的伙伴关系,这往往使欧盟-俄罗斯的几项能源政策变得毫无意义。邻居们似乎已经失去了倾听对方的能力——他们完全没有合作的心态。本文试图探讨所采用的政策工具及其不同程度的成功。然后,本文将设法找出这些机制无效的原因。
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EU-Russia Energy Policy – Why is it Incoherent and Ineffective?
Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia was left politically and economically weak, and with very little bargaining power. The European Union (EU) initiated several policy instruments with Russia to bolster the latter’s economy. A few former Soviet Union republics became members of the EU, adding to its size and power. However, once V. Putin became the President of Russia, the dynamics of the EU-Russian relationship changed. Putin’s goal was to make Russia an ‘Energy Superpower’ by having state control over the strategic sectors within and outside Russia. Besides being a state monopoly in the gas sector, Gazprom also expanded by acquiring downstream assets in the EU. However, any foreign investment participation in Russia is considerably discouraged by the Foreign Strategic Investment Law. EU has also similarly put roadblocks in Gazprom’s expansion plans by introducing the Third Energy Package in 2009. The ghost of Cold War haunts the EU-Russian relationship, which has become fraught with myths, distrust and political face-offs. The EU wants Russia to invest in the energy sector and increase production and yet it continues to promote energy independence as a policy goal. It comes as no surprise that Russia wants to deal with individual states in the EU rather than deal with EU as a whole to protect its interests. This has fragmented the EU, with some states pursuing their separate agenda of energy security while some are openly antagonistic towards any form of partnership, often making the several EU-Russia energy policies meaningless. It appears that the neighbors have lost the ability to hear each other - there is a total absence of co-operative mindset. This research paper attempts to explore the policy instruments adopted and their varying degrees of success. The paper will then seek to locate the reasons for the ineffectiveness of these mechanisms.
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