基于可靠度分析的高寒高海拔地区连续长坡线形设计准则

Duo Xu, S. Fang, Yuren Chen, Shengbin Zhang
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摘要

本文的主要目的是提出一种灵活的高寒高海拔地区连续降线设计方法。在这种特殊的路线上,货车的制动退色是造成事故的最主要原因,因此,温升模型是路线准则选择的理论核心。在正常气候条件下,对低海拔地区载货汽车下坡时的温升规律进行了研究。此外,确定性方法一直是道路设计者指导方针的基础。然而,当情况转变为高山和高海拔条件时,温度并没有像想象的那样上升,确定性方法在特定情况下有局限性。本文收集了西藏两条道路的数据,一条为低坡度,另一条为高坡度。由于驾驶员在两条道路上的驾驶行为不同,本文基于梯度将温升模型分为两部分。假设速度和重量为正态分布,然后计算可靠性。在一定的极限状态下,给出了极限边坡与坡度的关系。最后给出了不同地区的设计准则流程图。
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Designing Criteria of Continuous Long Slope Alignment at Alpine and High Altitude Area Based on Reliability Analysis
The main objective of this paper is to bring forward the flexible method for designing the continuous downgrade alignment at alpine high altitude area. Brake fade of trucks is the most important cause of accidents on this special alignment, and therefore, temperature rise model is the theoretical core for alignment criteria selection. Several researches have been carried out for laws of temperature rising of trucks on downgrade at low altitude area under normal climate. Additionally, deterministic method is always the basis of guidelines for road designers. However, when situation changes to alpine and high altitude condition, temperature does not rise as imagined, and deterministic method has limitations in specific circumstances. This paper collects data on two roads in Tibet, one for lower gradient, the other for higher gradient. As drivers have different driving behaviors on the two roads, this paper divides temperature rise model into two parts based on the gradient. After two Chinese temperature rise models are corrected by data from Tibet with R-squares beyond 0.8, reliability analysis is then carried out. Speed and weight are hypothesized as normal distribution, and then reliability is calculated. Consequently, the relation between restricted slope and grade is given under certain limited state. The flowchart of design criteria is shown against different districts finally.
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