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2019 5th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)最新文献

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The Effect of Speed and Acceleration on Emission Ratio Based on Actual Road Driving: A Case of Xiaodian District in Taiyuan 基于实际道路行驶的车速和加速度对排放比的影响——以太原市小店区为例
Pub Date : 2019-10-28 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883784
Jieyu Fan, Jian Lu, Jing Wang
To support scientific management strategy for reducing transportation gas emission, this study investigates the emission principles of different exhaust gases (CO, HC, NOX) in different driving states. The OBEAS-3000 vehicle exhaust gas detector was used to collect the instantaneous emission rate of motor vehicle exhaust at different speeds and accelerations in field experiments. Based on the data, the effects of speed and acceleration rate on the emission rate of different exhaust gases by partial correlation methods were analyzed. Results show that there are potential interactions between acceleration and velocity effects at different gas emission rates and emission ratios. At different stages of the velocity and acceleration, the proportions of CO and HC emissions are significantly different, but the proportion of NOX changes little. At the low-velocity stage, emission ratios of CO and HC have no significant changes in different acceleration stages. In the mid-speed driving phase, the CO emission ratio is positively correlated with the acceleration, whereas the HC emission ratio is negatively correlated with the acceleration. During the high-velocity driving period, CO and HC emission ratios have no significant change in different acceleration stages. The results provide theoretical supports for establishing accurate emission models for various gases.
为了支持科学的交通运输气体减排管理策略,本研究考察了不同驾驶状态下不同废气(CO、HC、NOX)的排放规律。采用OBEAS-3000汽车尾气检测仪,采集不同车速和加速度下汽车尾气的瞬时排放率进行现场实验。在此基础上,采用偏相关法分析了车速和加速度对不同废气排放量的影响。结果表明,在不同气体排放速率和排放比下,加速度和速度效应之间存在潜在的相互作用。在车速和加速度的不同阶段,CO和HC的排放比例有显著差异,而NOX的排放比例变化不大。在低速阶段,不同加速阶段CO和HC的排放比变化不显著。在中速行驶阶段,CO排放比与加速度正相关,HC排放比与加速度负相关。在高速行驶阶段,不同加速阶段CO和HC排放比变化不显著。研究结果为建立准确的各种气体排放模型提供了理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
Injury Severity Analysis of Nighttime Work Zone Crashes 夜间工作区域交通事故的伤害严重程度分析
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883723
Kairan Zhang, M. Hassan
Egypt’s National Road Project is a large infrastructure project aiming to upgrade 2500 kilometers in the road network as well as constructing 4000 kilometers of new roads to meet today’s need. The road construction work inevitably leads to an increased number of work zones on highways, creating more hazardous situations for drivers. This is the reason highway agencies are shifting towards night construction work in order to reduce the traffic impacts on the public. Nighttime traffic is commonly characterized by lower traffic volumes, higher speeds and reduced visibility, but there are only a few studies providing valuable results on nighttime work zone crashes. Data from long-term Egyptian highway work zone projects that occurred between 2010 and 2016 are investigated and the injury severity of nighttime crashes is modeled by a mixed multinomial logit model. The estimation procedure indicates that the speeding factor is best modeled by a random variable. From investigation of the model parameters and their pseudo-elasticity, the influence of a wide range of risk factors on injury severity can be assessed and interpreted in terms of driving conditions. It is found that highly influential factors increasing the crash fatality risk include weather conditions (rain) and driver characteristics, such as gender and age group. Additional risk factors are vehicle type (passenger cars or heavy vehicles) and work zones with multiple lane closures.
埃及的国家公路项目是一个大型基础设施项目,旨在升级2500公里的道路网络,并建设4000公里的新道路,以满足当今的需求。道路建设工作不可避免地导致高速公路上的工作区域增加,给司机带来了更多的危险情况。这就是高速公路部门为了减少对公众的交通影响而转向夜间施工的原因。夜间交通通常具有交通量低、速度快、能见度低的特点,但只有少数研究提供了夜间工作区域交通事故的有价值的结果。研究人员调查了2010年至2016年期间埃及高速公路工作区的长期项目数据,并通过混合多项logit模型对夜间交通事故的伤害严重程度进行了建模。估计过程表明,车速因子最好是用随机变量来建模。通过对模型参数及其拟弹性的研究,可以从驾驶条件的角度来评估和解释各种危险因素对损伤严重程度的影响。研究发现,增加事故死亡风险的高度影响因素包括天气条件(下雨)和驾驶员特征,如性别和年龄组。其他风险因素包括车辆类型(乘用车或重型车辆)和多个车道封闭的工作区。
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引用次数: 4
A Study of Interference between Pedestrians and Vehicles in Drop-off Area at Railway Station based on Celluar Automata 基于元胞自动机的火车站下车区行人与车辆干扰研究
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883752
Jianhui Cheng, D. Li
In a drop-off area of railway station, there is serious interference between vehicles and between pedestrians and vehicles, which greatly affects the traffic efficiency of the area, and leads to traffic safety problems. At present, however, there is a lack of research on the interference between vehicles and pedestrians in the drop-off area. To deal with the problem of interference between vehicles and pedestrians, this paper proposes an interference model based on cellular automata between vehicles and pedestrians in the drop-off area. The model mainly consists of a parking model and a motion model for vehicles, and a decision model and a motion model for pedestrians. The model is calibrated by the traffic flow in the drop-off area of Beijingxi Railway Station, after which the traffic characteristics of the drop-off area are analyzed: Traffic volume increases with the increase of vehicle arrival rate, and then the trend gradually tends to be steady to 1 090 pcu/h; vehicles in the outside lane have a greater influence on traffic volume in this area; the probability of conflict event on the unsignalized crosswalks in the drop-off area is about 5.13%; the delay of the outside lane vehicle is smaller than vehicle of the inboard lane, and the pedestrian delay is not simply multiplied as the number of crossing lanes increases.
在火车站下车区,车辆之间、行人与车辆之间存在严重的干扰,极大地影响了该区域的交通效率,并导致交通安全问题。然而,目前对于落客区车辆与行人之间的干扰问题研究较少。针对下车区车辆与行人的干扰问题,提出了一种基于元胞自动机的下车区车辆与行人的干扰模型。该模型主要包括车辆的停车模型和运动模型,行人的决策模型和运动模型。利用北京西站下车区交通流对模型进行标定,分析下车区交通特征:交通量随车辆到达率的增加而增加,随后趋于稳定,达到1 090 pcu/h;外车道车辆对该区域交通量的影响较大;落客区无信号人行横道发生冲突事件的概率约为5.13%;外车道车辆的延迟小于内车道车辆的延迟,并且行人延迟不是简单地随着交叉车道数量的增加而增加。
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引用次数: 2
Effect of Fatigue and Stress on Air Traffic Control Performance 疲劳和应力对空中交通管制绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883823
Xingjian Zhang, Le-ping Yuan, Mo Zhao, Peng Bai
Fatigue and stress are two of the most common degraded performance states of air traffic controllers. They may have potential threat to air traffic safety. In order to analyze the effect characteristics of them on control performance, nine indices were defined and analyzed. A control simulation experiment was designed to collect 22 participants’ control performance data and the data of 19 participants were collected successfully. Four states, sober (SO), fatigue (FA), stress (ST) and fatigue & stress (FS), were designed. According to training regulations of air traffic controllers, nine indices were designed and analyzed, including the average of reaction time (RT_AVG), the standard deviation of reaction time (RT_SD), radiotelephony communication (RC), checking equipment (CE), flight progress strip (FPS), safety awareness (SAA), safety interval (SAI), instruction moment (IM), situation awareness (SIA). Based on the experiment process record of controllers, RT was calculated and the other indices was graded according to specific rule. The analysis results showed that all the indices except CE and SAA were significantly different among the four states. The performance of RT_AVG, RT_SD, RC, IM and SIA of controllers was impaired by fatigue significantly. Under the influence of stress, RT_SD, RC, FPS, SI, IM and SIA became worse. All the indices except CE and SAA were different significantly in FS state compared with SO state. The results indicate that both fatigue and stress can impair control performance in several aspects. Fatigue mainly makes controllers’ execution speed slower and less consideration about the situation. Stress leads to more control mistakes or disorders. These findings are expected to support the recognition of control states and improve the optimization of air traffic controller management.
疲劳和压力是空中交通管制员最常见的两种性能下降状态。它们可能对空中交通安全构成潜在威胁。为了分析它们对控制性能的影响特征,定义并分析了9个指标。设计了一个控制模拟实验,收集了22名参与者的控制性能数据,成功收集了19名参与者的数据。设计了清醒状态(SO)、疲劳状态(FA)、应力状态(ST)和疲劳与应力状态(FS)四种状态。根据空中交通管制员培训规程,设计并分析了反应时间平均值(RT_AVG)、反应时间标准差(RT_SD)、无线电话通信(RC)、检查设备(CE)、飞行进度条(FPS)、安全意识(SAA)、安全间隔(SAI)、指令时刻(IM)、态势感知(SIA)等9个指标。根据控制器的实验过程记录,计算RT,并根据具体规则对其他指标进行分级。分析结果表明,除CE和SAA外,其他指标在4个州间均存在显著差异。疲劳对控制器的RT_AVG、RT_SD、RC、IM和SIA性能有显著影响。应力作用下,RT_SD、RC、FPS、SI、IM和SIA变差。FS状态与SO状态相比,除CE和SAA外,其余指标均有显著差异。结果表明,疲劳和应力都会在多个方面影响控制性能。疲劳主要使控制器的执行速度变慢,对情况的考虑变少。压力会导致更多的控制错误或失调。这些发现有望支持管制状态的识别,并改善空中交通管制员管理的优化。
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引用次数: 1
Investigating Factors Contributing to Injury Severity in Work Zone Rear-End Crashes 调查导致工作区域追尾事故伤害严重程度的因素
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883589
Kairan Zhang, M. Hassan
Egypt’s National Road Project is a large infrastructure project which presently aims to upgrade 2500 kilometers of road networks as well as construct 4000 kilometers of new roads to meet today’s need. Increasing the amount of highway construction results in a significant increase in the number of work zones and therefore a rise in more hazardous conditions. This paper aims to investigate and identify the significant contributing factors for work zone rear-end crash severity, by applying a factor analysis method and an ordered probit model to analyze data on the Egyptian long-term highway work zone projects during the period of 2010 to 2016. The main and common factors which influence crashes are identified by factor analysis, while the probit model is developed based on the scores of factor analysis to examine how those factors contribute to crashes. The results show that the most influential factors which contribute to crashes are gender, road character, number of lane closures, and age. Furthermore, five common factors significantly affect the severity of work zone rear-end crashes, whose accumulated contribution percentage is 65.92%.
埃及的国家公路项目是一个大型基础设施项目,目前旨在升级2500公里的道路网络,并建设4000公里的新道路,以满足当今的需求。高速公路建设数量的增加导致工作区域数量的显著增加,从而导致更危险的条件的增加。本文旨在通过运用因子分析法和有序probit模型对2010 - 2016年埃及公路长期工作区项目数据进行分析,探讨并识别工作区追尾事故严重程度的显著影响因素。通过因子分析找出影响交通事故的主要因素和共同因素,并根据因子分析的得分建立概率模型,考察这些因素对交通事故的影响。结果表明,对交通事故影响最大的因素是性别、道路特征、封闭车道数量和年龄。此外,5个共同因素显著影响工作区追尾事故严重程度,其累积贡献率为65.92%。
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引用次数: 4
Integration of Internet of Things (IoT) and Blockchain to increase humanitarian aid supply chains performance 物联网(IoT)和区块链的融合提高人道主义援助供应链的绩效
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883757
D. Aranda, L. M. Fernández, V. Stantchev
Global humanitarianism is largely based on the correct management of the humanitarian aid chain. Agility is a concept taken from supply chain management in manufacturing that has been recently applied to humanitarian aid supply chains (HASC) in order to deliver emergency disaster relief. Different actors participate in the HASC (International and local NGOs, governmental institutions and services, army or individual initiatives, among others) whose configurations, processes or goals directly influence the levels of responsiveness, flexibility or agility. In addition, fast changing environments and conditions require different agencies to work with effectiveness even reconfiguring to deliver relief in extreme emergency circumstances. There are plenty of catastrophic disasters sorts which differ in their impact according to multiple variables such as the level of country development, geographical distance to basic resources, political circumstances such as wars or embargos, inclusionary community participation, existence of potential or real epidemics, etc. This complexity involves plenty of difficulties for operational effectiveness as well as for the definition of an aid supply chain strategy. This paper provides an overview of the benefits that the integration of IoT and Blockchain can produce on HASC performance conditions involving resources, processes, outputs, outcomes and impacts.
全球人道主义在很大程度上是基于对人道主义援助链的正确管理。敏捷性是一个来自制造业供应链管理的概念,最近被应用于人道主义援助供应链(HASC),以提供紧急救灾。参与HASC的不同行动者(国际和地方非政府组织、政府机构和服务、军队或个人倡议等),其配置、过程或目标直接影响到响应能力、灵活性或敏捷性的水平。此外,快速变化的环境和条件要求不同的机构有效地开展工作,甚至重新配置,以便在极端紧急情况下提供救济。有许多灾难性灾害种类,其影响因多种变量而异,如国家发展水平、与基本资源的地理距离、战争或禁运等政治环境、包容性社区参与、潜在或实际流行病的存在等。这种复杂性给行动的有效性以及援助供应链战略的定义带来了很多困难。本文概述了物联网和区块链的集成可以在涉及资源、流程、输出、结果和影响的HASC性能条件上产生的好处。
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引用次数: 19
The Moderating Effect of Risk Tolerance on the Hazardous Attitudes and Safety Behavior of Maritime Pilots: a Chinese Case 风险承受能力对海上引航员危险态度和安全行为的调节作用:一个中国案例
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883592
Y. Xi, S. Fu, Shenping Hu, Tingrong Qin, Zaili Yang
The safety psychology of maritime pilots has a significant impact on their safe operational behavior. This paper aims to analyze the hazardous attitudes of maritime pilots towards their safety behavior and investigate the effect}{of their risk tolerance on this process through a hybrid of Structural Equation Model (SEM) and multi-level regression analysis. Primary data was collected from a survey from Chinese pilots working at Shanghai port, and a total of 306 collected surveys was analyzed. The study shows that hazardous attitudes have a significant effect on the safety behavior of maritime pilots, and the degree of risk tolerance plays a significant moderating role in this process. If the value of hazardous attitudes of maritime pilots is higher than an average level, his/her safety operational behavior will gradually degrade with the increased degree of risk tolerance. If the value of hazardous attitudes is lower than the average level, the behavior will gradually be safer with the decreased degree of risk tolerance.
海上引航员的安全心理对其安全操作行为有着重要的影响。本文旨在通过结构方程模型(SEM)和多层次回归分析的混合方法,分析海上飞行员对其安全行为的危险态度,并研究他们的风险承受能力对这一过程的影响。主要数据收集自对在上海港工作的中国飞行员的调查,并对收集到的306份调查进行分析。研究表明,危险态度对海上飞行员安全行为有显著影响,风险承受程度在此过程中起显著调节作用。如果海上引航员的危险态度值高于平均水平,则其安全操作行为会随着风险容忍程度的增加而逐渐退化。如果危险态度值低于平均水平,则随着风险承受程度的降低,行为会逐渐变得安全。
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引用次数: 1
Long-term Vessel Motion Predication by Modeling Trajectory Patterns with AIS Data 利用AIS数据建模轨迹模式进行船舶长期运动预测
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883596
Wenkai Li, Chunwei Zhang, Jie Ma, Chengfeng Jia
It is of critical importance for vessels to detect potentially hazardous situations as early as possible. Therefore, recognition and prediction of vessel motions require effective representations for analysis and clustering of motion trajectories. While short-term motion prediction of moving object is largely achievable, long-term prediction is more useful given the restricted maneuverability of vessels since a vessel cannot abruptly stop, turn or reverse as a land vehicle does. To this end, we propose in this study a long-term vessel motion prediction approach based on a combined trajectory classification and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks framework. As a measure for the similarity between trajectories, we introduce the longest common subsequence (LCS) algorithm to define trajectory similarity when making DBSCAN clustering. The grouped trajectories representing various motion patterns are further modeled via LSTM networks, in which vessel trajectory data are formed by regressing relative motion against current position and then the iterative prediction is applied for long-term prediction. We use the proposed approach for classifying and predicting motions in vessel traffic monitoring domains and test on real AIS data. Experiments show the benefit of this approach for long-term motion predication where parametric models such as Kalman Filters would perform poorly.
对于船舶来说,尽早发现潜在的危险情况至关重要。因此,船舶运动的识别和预测需要有效的表征来分析和聚类运动轨迹。虽然移动物体的短期运动预测在很大程度上是可以实现的,但考虑到船只的机动性有限,长期预测更有用,因为船只不能像陆地车辆那样突然停止、转弯或倒车。为此,我们在本研究中提出了一种基于组合轨迹分类和长短期记忆(LSTM)网络框架的长期船舶运动预测方法。在进行DBSCAN聚类时,引入最长公共子序列(LCS)算法来定义轨迹相似度,作为轨迹之间相似度的度量。通过LSTM网络对代表各种运动模式的分组轨迹进一步建模,其中船舶轨迹数据通过相对运动与当前位置的回归形成,然后应用迭代预测进行长期预测。我们使用该方法对船舶交通监控域中的运动进行分类和预测,并在真实AIS数据上进行了测试。实验表明,在卡尔曼滤波器等参数模型表现不佳的情况下,这种方法对长期运动预测有好处。
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引用次数: 16
A New Level of Service Method for Roads Based on Available Perception Time and Risk of Sustaining Severe Injury or Death 基于可用感知时间和持续严重伤害或死亡风险的道路服务新方法
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883572
A. Makki, Trung-Thanh Nguyen, Jie Jessie Ren
The purpose of this paper is to present three novel methods of road traffic flow level of service on the basis of safety, prevention of accidents by available perception time and available stopping distance, and the risk of pedestrians sustaining severe injuries and risk of death. The risk of accidents and risk of sustaining severe injuries or death increase with the reduction of gap between the vehicle and the pedestrian casualty. Hence, the closest the pedestrian is from the vehicle the more likely he/she will sustain sever injuries or die. Researchers have assessed the impact of an accident by passenger cars and light goods vehicles on pedestrian, but they overlooked the impact of heavy goods vehicles. For roads with relatively high percentage of heavy goods vehicles in the traffic flow, an investigation of the risk of losing human lives and high expenses due to accidents is beneficial. Level of service methods that describe the risk of accidents in low quality operational conditions are necessary for accident prevention purposes.
本文的目的是提出三种基于安全、可用感知时间和可用停车距离预防事故、行人严重伤害风险和死亡风险的道路交通流服务水平的新方法。随着车辆与行人伤亡之间的距离减小,发生事故的风险和严重受伤或死亡的风险增加。因此,行人离车辆越近,他/她受重伤或死亡的可能性就越大。研究人员已经评估了客车和轻型货车事故对行人的影响,但他们忽略了重型货车的影响。对于重型货车在交通流量中所占比例较高的道路,调查事故造成的人员伤亡风险和高额费用是有益的。描述低质量运行条件下事故风险的服务水平方法对于预防事故是必要的。
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引用次数: 1
Simulation Analysis of Steering Gear Hydraulic System Fault Mechanism Based on AMESim 基于AMESim的舵机液压系统故障机理仿真分析
Pub Date : 2019-07-14 DOI: 10.1109/ICTIS.2019.8883800
Peng Chen, Xiang Li, Z. Tang
To study the fault mechanism of steering gear hydraulic system systematically, the typical fault of steering gear hydraulic system is analyzed with theoretical method, and the simulation model is built with AMEsim method according to the component of steering gear hydraulic system. Three typical fault models are set in the AMESim model respectively, and the response regulations are revealed. Meanwhile, the fault mechanism is analyzed. Research method and results can offer reference and guide for fault diagnosis of steering gear hydraulic system.
为系统研究舵机液压系统的故障机理,采用理论方法分析了舵机液压系统的典型故障,并根据舵机液压系统的组成,采用AMEsim方法建立了仿真模型。在AMESim模型中分别设置了三种典型故障模型,揭示了其响应规律。同时,对故障机理进行了分析。研究方法和结果可为舵机液压系统的故障诊断提供参考和指导。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
2019 5th International Conference on Transportation Information and Safety (ICTIS)
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