大型商业综合体火灾风险耦合机制研究

Yu Zhang, Shuran Lv
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于大型商业综合体建筑规模大、可燃物量大、人流量大等特点,火灾事故时有发生,但事故风险耦合灾害的机理尚不清楚。针对上述问题,对影响大型商业综合体消防安全的人、设备、环境和管理因素进行风险耦合分析,并利用N-K模型计算不同风险耦合情况的概率和风险值。结果表明,人是关键的耦合因素;多因素风险耦合会增加事故发生的概率;同时,应避免采用强耦合的耦合形式。
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Study on Fire Risk Coupling Mechanism of Large Commercial Complex
Due to the characteristics of large commercial complex, such as large building scale, large amount of combustibles and large flow of people, fire accidents occur from time to time, but the mechanism of accident risk coupling disaster is still unclear. Based on the above problems, the risk coupling analysis of human, equipment, environment and management factors affecting the fire safety of large commercial complex is carried out, and the probability and risk value of different risk coupling situations are calculated by using the N-K Model. The results show that human is the key coupling factor; multi-factor risk coupling will increase the probability of accidents; at the same time, the coupling form with strong coupling should be avoided..
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