基于地理信息系统(GIS)和人工神经网络(ANN)的廷布-芬特舒林公路(亚洲48号公路)Jumja路段雾天造成视距障碍交通事故分析

Sangey Pasang
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摘要

道路事故分析是确定导致碰撞的因素的关键技术,可以帮助降低事故率。考虑视距是高速公路几何设计的一个重要组成部分,以保证以可承受的价格获得最高安全水平的有效交通运行。道路交通事故经常是由于大雾天气造成能见度降低而引起的,因此研究这个问题的兴趣增加了。本研究旨在确定和关联视线距离,雾阻塞,以及它们对沿廷布-彭措林公路(亚洲48号公路)的Jumja交通事故的影响。利用地理信息系统和人工神经网络技术辅助数据收集和预测。选取2017 - 2023年7年的温度、相对湿度和风速作为雾的发生条件,训练人工神经网络。由于夏季和冬季经常出现雾,因此训练和预测了夏季和冬季的能见度。结果发现相关值R为0.998,证明研究结果基本准确。本研究对视距对Jumja地区交通事故的影响进行了深入的调查。在完成这项研究后,得出了一个结论性的发现,即视距是Jumja地区由于雾隐身而导致交通事故的一个促成因素。
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Analysis of road accidents due to obstruction in sight distance caused by foggy weather using Geographic Information System (GIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) at Jumja along Thimphu-Phuentsholing Highway (Asian Highway 48)
Road accident analysis is a crucial technique for determining what elements contribute to collisions and can help lower the accident rate. The consideration of sight distance is a crucial component of highway geometric design in order to guarantee effective traffic operations with the highest level of safety at an affordable price. Road accidents frequently result from reduced visibility caused by foggy weather, hence there is increased interest in studying this issue. This study aims to determine and correlate sight distance, fog blockage, and their effects on traffic accidents at Jumja along Thimphu-Phuentsholing Highway (Asian Highway 48). Data gathering and prediction was aided by the usage of Geographic Information Systems and Artificial Neural Network technologies. Temperature, relative humidity and wind speed for seven years from 2017 to 2023 were considered for fog occurrence to train Artificial Neural Network. Visibility was trained and predicted for summer and winter seasons since the occurrence of fog is prevalent during these seasons. As a result, a correlation value R of 0.998 was found, proving the findings to be almost accurate. This study offers a thorough investigation of how sight distance contributes to traffic accidents at Jumja region. A conclusive finding addressing the significance of sight distance as a contributing factor to traffic accidents due to fog invisibility along Jumja region was made after completion of this study.
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Analysis of road accidents due to obstruction in sight distance caused by foggy weather using Geographic Information System (GIS) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) at Jumja along Thimphu-Phuentsholing Highway (Asian Highway 48) Identifying Factors Influencing Time and Cost Overruns in Public Construction Projects in Bhutan Enhancing Financial Sustainability of Urban Water Supply Systems in Bhutan: A case study of Thimphu Thromde (Municipality).
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