美国划船安全政策的影响

Todd Gabe, D. Hite
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了划船安全政策对国家水道上涉及游船事故的影响。我们关注执法和青年认证政策的影响,使用普通最小二乘和负二项估计,控制选定的人口和地理变量。负二项模型的估计值用于政策模拟,以预测拟议的划船安全政策的结果。我们的研究结果表明,通过在全美范围内统一实施执法和青少年认证计划,可以大幅减少事故和财产损失。本文扩展了现有的汽车安全研究,并证明了极大似然估计对政策分析的有用性。
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The Effects of Boating Safety Policies in the United States
This paper presents an analysis of the effects of boating safety policies on accidents involving pleasure boats on state waterways. We focus on the impacts of law enforcement and youth certification policies, using ordinary least squares and negative binomial estimators that control for select demographic and geographical variables. Estimates from the negative binomial model are used in policy simulations to predict the outcomes of proposed boating safety policies. Our findings suggest that substantial reductions in accidents and property damages could be achieved through the uniform application of law enforcement and youth certification programs across the United States. The paper extends existing studies on automobile safety and demonstrates the usefulness of a maximum likelihood estimator for policy analysis.
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