意外政治事件与股票收益:事件研究

Jeetendra Dangol
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引用次数: 35

摘要

本研究的重点是市场对新的意外政治事件公告的反应,使用事件分析方法。研究结果对尼泊尔股票市场存在信息含量假说提供了一致的结论。研究发现,好消息(坏消息)政治公告在事件后产生正(负)异常回报。这些数据为股票价格对新的政治信息的调整速度提供了重要证据,即在公告日期后的2至3天内。因此,本文发现尼泊尔股票市场在半强水平上是低效的,但政治不确定性与普通股收益之间存在很强的联系。
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Unanticipated Political Events and Stock Returns: An Event Study
The study focuses on market reaction to announcements of new unanticipated political events using the event analysis methodology. The findings of the study provide a consistent conclusion regarding the existence of information content hypothesis in the Nepalese stock market. The study reveals that good-news (badnews) political announcements generate positive (negative) abnormal returns in the post-event period. The data present important evidence on the speed of adjustment of stock prices to new political information, i.e., in as many as 2 to 3 days from the announcement date. Thus, this paper finds that the Nepalese stock market is inefficient at a semi-strong level, but there is a strong linkage between political uncertainty and common stock returns.
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