功能共振分析法(FRAM)与其他方法的结合演变

M. C. Pardo-Ferreira, M. Martínez-Rojas, F. Salguero-Caparrós, J. Rubio-Romero
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引用次数: 10

摘要

传统上使用简单和复杂的线性模型来分析事故并寻找事故原因。弹性工程打破了传统的理解安全的方式,专注于出错的事情。通过这种方式,安全的概念被重新定义为专注于顺利进行的事情。弹性工程的新范式强调,当事情在困难的情况下进展顺利时,主要是由于工人的适应能力,即他们识别和吸收意外变化和事件的能力。在这种新的背景下,功能共振分析方法能够模拟系统如何工作,并了解日常性能的可变性。本研究的目的是提出将其他方法与FRAM相结合的主要方法,以改进FRAM,例如:蒙特卡罗模拟,模糊逻辑理论,模型检查,分析层次过程方法和抽象层次。请注意,本研究对科学文献中最常见的方法进行了非详尽的回顾。搜索过程在主要的科学数据库中进行,如Web of Knowledge、Science Direct或Google Scholar,因为它们被确定为与研究领域相关。为了获得与本工作目标相关的充分结果,我们以“功能共振分析法”为术语,在标题、摘要和关键词字段中进行搜索。数据收集过程完成后,共获得22份文档。随后,通过选择那些将FRAM与另一种以半定量或定量方式定义函数可变性的方法相结合的出版物来过滤所有检索到的文档。然后,经过这个筛选过程,从不同的角度对18项研究进行分析和呈现。首先,对这一研究领域的演变进行了分析。根据这一分析,可以观察到研究出版物的增长趋势,包括期刊文件和会议文件。其次,对研究重点所在部门的分析是详细的,因为所有分析的研究都包括了他们的建议的应用实例。从这个意义上说,航空部门是出现最频繁的部门,其次是海事部门。第三,在作者国家的基础上,分析了研究的分布,意大利和中国是这一研究领域的参考国家。接下来,对发表这些文件的期刊进行分析。最后,根据与FRAM相结合的不同方法对提案进行分组。总的来说,对这些新的FRAM方法的分析表明,所有作者在保留FRAM建模复杂系统的理论基础方面是一致的。尽管如此,目前仍没有一种方法能超越其他方法,未来的研究应继续推进功能共振分析法的发展,以促进复杂系统的风险评估。关键词:功能共振分析法;弹性工程,复杂系统;风险评估;安全。
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Evolution of the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) through the combination with other methods
Traditionally, simple and complex linear models were used to analyze accidents and find their causes. The Resilience Engineering breaks with the traditional way of understanding safety focused on things that go wrong. In this way, the concept of safety is redefined to focus on things that go well. The new paradigm of Resilience Engineering emphasizes that when things go well in difficult circumstances, it is mainly due to the ability of workers to adapt, that is, their ability to recognize and absorb unexpected changes and events. In this new context, Functional Resonance Analysis Method enables to model how a system works and to understand the variability in daily performance. The objective of this research study is to present the main approaches that combine other methods with FRAM with the aim of improving it, as for example: Monte Carlo simulation, Fuzzy Logic theory, Model Checking, Analytical Hierarchical Process methodologies and Abstraction Hierarchy. Notice that the present study develops a non-exhaustive review of the methods that appears most frequently in the scientific Literature. The search process has been carried out in the main scientific databases such as Web of Knowledge, Science Direct or Google Scholar since they are identified as relevant to the research domain. In order to obtain adequate results concerning the objective of this work, we consider “Functional Resonance Analysis Method” as terms to perform the search in the title, abstract and keyword fields. After the data collection process, a total of 22 documents were obtained. Subsequently, all the retrieved documents were filtered by selecting those publications that had the purpose of combining the FRAM with another method to define the function variability in a semi-quantitative or quantitative manner. Then, after this filtering process, 18 studies were analysed and presented from diverse perspectives. Firstly, an analysis was conducted to explore the evolution of this research domain over time. As a result of this analysis, a growing trend in the publication of research is observed, both journal documents and conference documents. Secondly, an analysis concerning the sector where the study is focused is detailed since all the analyzed studies included an application example of their proposal. In this sense, the aviation sector was the one that appeared most frequently, followed by the maritime sector. Thirdly, the distribution of analysed studies on the basis of the country of authors has been presented, being Italy and China the reference countries in this research domain. Following, an analysis in relation to the journals where the documents are published is conducted. Finally, the proposals were grouped according to the different approaches that were combined with FRAM. As a general conclusion, the analysis of the new FRAM approaches shows that all the authors coincide in preserving the theoretical basis of FRAM for modeling complex systems. Despite this, there is still no approach that prevails over others and future research should continue to advance the evolution the Functional Resonance Analysis Method with the aim to facilitate the risk assessments in complex systems. Keywords : Functional Resonance Analysis Method; Resilience Engineering, Complex systems; Risk assessment; Safety.
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