外部调整的资产定价观

A. Pavlova, R. Rigobón
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引用次数: 60

摘要

最近有关跨境股本流动重要性的证据,要求我们重新思考外部调整的标准理论。我们将股权持有和投资组合选择引入到传统的开放经济动态均衡模型中。我们的模型很简单,不管金融市场是完整的还是不完整的,它都承认一个封闭的解决方案。我们发现,文献中过分强调解决不完全市场模型的唯一目的是获得对经常账户的重要影响,这是错误的。我们重新审视当前关于标准与基于资本收益(或“估值”)的外部调整渠道的相对重要性的辩论,并确定在我们的框架中它们是一致的。我们的模型的含义与最近的实证文献中记录的一些有趣的程式化事实是一致的。
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An Asset-Pricing View of External Adjustment
Recent evidence on the importance of cross-border equity flows calls for a rethinking of the standard theory of external adjustment. We introduce equity holdings and portfolio choice into an otherwise conventional open-economy dynamic equilibrium model. Our model is simple and admits a closed-form solution regardless of whether financial markets are complete or incomplete. We find that the excessive emphasis put in the literature on solving models with incomplete markets for the sole purpose of obtaining nontrivial implications for the current account is misplaced. We revisit the current debate on the relative importance of the standard vs. the capital-gains-based (or "valuation'') channels of the external adjustment and establish that in our framework they are congruent. Our model's implications are consistent with a number of intriguing stylized facts documented in the recent empirical literature.
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