深度学习技术在时间序列预测中的性能分析

Nrusingha Tripathy, Sarbeswara Hota, Sashikanta Prusty, S. Nayak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

时间序列数据预测是经济、商业和金融领域的一个重要课题。由于最近计算能力的提高,更重要的是复杂机器学习算法和方法(如深度学习)的发展,正在创建新的方法来评估和预测时间序列数据。本文提出了一种基于深度学习的时间序列预测方法,并对ARIMA、LSTM和lb - prophet三种模型进行了比较研究,利用当前知识作为时间序列,然后提取先验数据的关键元素来预测即将到来的时间序列的值。在这项工作中,我们取了一个电力生产数据集,其中70%的数据用于训练,30%的数据用于测试方法。实验结果表明,ARIMA模型对该时间序列数据的预测效果优于其他两种模型。
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Performance Analysis of Deep Learning Techniques for Time Series Forecasting
Time series data forecasting is a crucial topic in economics, business, and finance. New methods are being created to evaluate and predict time series data as a result of recent improvements in computing power and more significantly the development of sophisticated machine learning algorithms and methodologies, such as deep learning. This work boons a deep learning-based time series forecasting method and a comparative study among three models that are ARIMA, LSTM and FB-Prophet by using the current knowledge as time series then draws out the key elements of prior data to forecast the values of an upcoming time sequence. In this work, we have taken an electric production dataset, from which 70% of data used as training and 30% of data used as testing the methods. From the experimental result it is found that ARIMA model outperforms the other two model in forecasting this timeseries data.
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