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引用次数: 1

摘要

L. Zadeh提出了z数的概念来反映人类在信息不确定的环境下的决策能力。根据他的思想,一个z数由一个经典模糊部分和它的可靠性组成。虽然文献中已有基于语言学的研究,但信度部分的设计仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。本文采用Logistic回归方法确定可靠性部分。由于可靠性部分包含概率信息和模糊颗粒信息,因此必须同时提出基于统计和基于概率的方法。诸如给出概率输出,通过成本函数进行优化等特征使逻辑回归成为生成z数的最佳方法之一。根据提出的方法,编写了z数和基于z数的模糊if-then规则。我们在Fisher Iris Dataset上尝试了基于z数的分类器。结果表明,模糊隶属函数越可靠,输出结果越准确。另一个重要问题是输入信息(即传感器数据)的可靠性未知,因此无法进行基于可靠性的计算。该方法可以计算输入数据的可靠性。
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Generating Z-number by Logistic Regression
L. Zadeh came up with the idea of Z-number to reflect human decision-making ability in environments where information is uncertain. According to his idea, a Z-number consists of a classical fuzzy part and its reliability. Although there are linguistic based studies exist in the literature, designing the reliability part is still an open issue. In this paper, Logistic Regression is used to determine reliability part. Since the reliability part contains probability information and fuzzy granular information, both statistical and probability based methods must be proposed. The features such as giving probabilistic output, being optimization based via a cost function makes the Logistic Regression one of the best methods for generating Z-number. According to the proposed method, Z-numbers and Z-number based fuzzy if-then rules are written. We tried the Z-number based classifier on Fisher Iris Dataset. The results showed us the more reliable fuzzy membership functions give the more accurate outputs as expected. Another important issue is the reliability of input information, i.e. sensor data, was not known, so the reliability based calculations could not be performed. The reliability of input data can be calculated via proposed method.
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