Covid - 19大流行的影响:LQ - 45股票是否存在过度反应?

Deden Rizal Riadi, E. Garnia, T. Tahmat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2019冠状病毒病大流行对生活的各个方面产生了影响,包括资本市场,在包括印度尼西亚证券交易所在内的全球大多数证券交易所造成了负面反应。有效市场假说(EMH)解释了股票的价格总是由市场上可获得的信息反映出来的,或者投资者往往是理性的。然而,像COVID-19这样的戏剧性事件会让投资者反应过度。结果显示,在新冠疫情被宣布为大流行疫情后的3个月里,IDX的LQ 45类股票中的赢家和输家都出现了过度反应。这种过度反应随后是价格反转,即使它在t+13之后没有给赢家和输家股票带来显着的回报。在价格反转后,输家股票的价格恢复速度(幅度效应)比赢家股票更高(更快)。这种价格回升的速度受到公司资本结构和个人投资者(本地和外国)的持股比例的显著影响。
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Impact of The Covid 19 Pandemic: Is There Overreaction in LQ 45 Stock?
The Covid-19 pandemic has had an impact on various aspects of life, including the capital market which has caused a negative response on most stock exchanges around the world, including the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The Effecieny Market Hypothesis (EMH) explains that the price of a stock will always be reflected from the information available in the market or investors tend to be rational. However, dramatic events such as COVID-19 allow investors to overreact. The results showed that there was an overreaction in both winner and loser stocks in the LQ 45 group on the IDX in 3 months of observation since covid was announced as a pandemic. This overreaction is then followed by a price reversal even though it has not given a significant return after t+13 for both winner and losser stocks. The speed of price recovery (magnitude effect) after the price reversal on the loser stock is higher (faster) than the winner stock. The speed of this price recovery is significantly affected by the company's capital structure and share ownership of individual investors (local and foreign).
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