基于Agent-embedded system dynamics (aeSD)的工人政策分析建模方法——以建筑工人旷工为例

Sungjoo Hwang, Seungjun Ahn, SangHyun Lee
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的系统动力学(SD)和agent-based modeling (ABM)在基于仿真的群体动力学研究中得到了广泛的应用。为了结合两种仿真方法的优点,提出了SD-ABM混合仿真的概念。然而,在群体动力学研究的背景下,比较混合模型和非混合模型建模方法的有效性的研究很少。在此背景下,本研究旨在以建筑工人社会缺勤为研究案例,提出agent-embedded SD (aeSD)建模方法,并展示其相对于纯SD或ABM建模方法的优势。设计/方法/方法作者介绍了一种aeSD建模方法,将个体属性和个体之间的交互合并到SD模型中。建立了一个aeSD模型,以复制作者先前开发的基于主体的模型的行为,该模型用于研究建筑工人的旷工群体行为。然后,通过各种仿真实验证明了aeSD模型与纯ABM或SD模型相比的特点。结果表明,aeSD模型可以捕捉个体的多样性,并模拟由异质代理之间的相互作用引起的紧急系统行为,同时保持SD模型在识别因果反馈回路和策略测试方面的优势。具体而言,通过模拟实验的例子来证明aeSD方法在政策测试中的有效性,这些模拟实验旨在测试各种群体层面和个人层面的干预措施,以控制工人的社会缺席行为(例如改变工作分组,影响工作组网络和沟通渠道),并考虑到建设项目的背景。提出的aeSD建模方法是一种新颖的方法,可以将智能体的单个属性建模为SD模型。这种基于嵌入的方法区别于以往基于通信的混合仿真方法。本文给出的实例表明,aeSD建模方法在研究群体动态行为方面具有优势,特别是当需要在SD结构中对个体之间的相互作用和网络进行建模时。本研究进行的仿真实验证明了aeSD方法区别于ABM和SD的特点。基于研究结果,本文认为,aeSD建模方法将有助于通过计算机模拟研究建筑工人的社会行为和研究工人政策。
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Agent-embedded system dynamics (aeSD) modeling approach for analyzing worker policies: a research case on construction worker absenteeism
Purpose Both system dynamics (SD) and agent-based modeling (ABM) have been used in simulation-based group dynamics research. To combine the advantages of both simulation approaches, the concept of SD-ABM hybrid simulation has been proposed. However, research efforts to compare the effectiveness of modeling approaches between the hybrid and non-hybrid models in the context of group dynamics study are rare. Against this background, this study aims to propose an agent-embedded SD (aeSD) modeling approach and demonstrate its advantages when compared to pure SD or ABM modeling approaches, based on a research case on construction workers’ social absenteeism. Design/methodology/approach The authors introduce an aeSD modeling approach to incorporate individual attributes and interactions among individuals in an SD model. An aeSD model is developed to replicate the behavior of an agent-based model previously developed by the authors to study construction workers’ group behavior regarding absenteeism. Then, the characteristics of the aeSD model in comparison with a pure ABM or SD model are demonstrated through various simulation experiments. Findings It is demonstrated that an aeSD model can capture the diversity of individuals and simulate emergent system behaviors arising from interactions among heterogeneous agents while holding the strengths of an SD model in identifying causal feedback loops and policy testing. Specifically, the effectiveness of the aeSD approach in policy testing is demonstrated through examples of simulation experiments designed to test various group-level and individual-level interventions to control social absence behavior of workers (e.g. changing work groupings, influencing workgroup networks and communication channels) under the consideration of the context of construction projects. Originality/value The proposed aeSD modeling method is a novel approach to how individual attributes of agents can be modeled into an SD model. Such an embedding-based approach is distinguished from the previous communication-based hybrid simulation approaches. The demonstration example presented in the paper shows that the aeSD modeling approach has advantages in studying group dynamic behavior, especially when the modeling of the interactions and networks between individuals is needed within an SD structure. The simulation experiments conducted in this study demonstrate the characteristics of the aeSD approach distinguishable from both ABM and SD. Based on the results, it is argued that the aeSD modeling approach would be useful in studying construction workers’ social behavior and investigating worker policies through computer simulation.
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