日本企业破产与新陈代谢的潜在模式提取与分解

Hiroko Yamano, I. Sakata
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摘要

维护和替换是事务管理的关键要素,使公司能够在高度不稳定的市场中生存。交易连续性比率过低或过高的公司往往会退出市场,尤其是在严重时期,比如东日本大地震之后。换句话说,交易的新陈代谢是公司生存的关键。但问题是,哪些类型的公司被其他公司取代,从合作公司名单中消失。在本研究中,我们关注企业破产对合作伙伴交易网络结构的影响。利用东京商工研究有限公司提供的日本2007 - 2016年10年间累计1,406,690家企业的数据,我们研究了企业的特征,以发现破产案例中的任何模式。我们分析了与破产相关的经营状况,包括停业、暂停、合并和恢复。为了说明具有各种公司特征的破产的潜在特征,我们使用了张量因子分析,这降低了数据的复杂性并使合理的解释成为可能。因式分解的分析结果似乎澄清了以前隐藏的知识,以支持事务管理。
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Latent Pattern Extraction and Factorization of Firm Bankruptcies and Metabolism in Japan
Maintenance and replacement are key elements of transaction management for companies to survive in a highly volatile market. Companies that have too low or too high rates of transactional continuity tend to leave the market, especially in severe times, such as in the aftermath of The Great East Japan Earthquake. In other words, the metabolism of transactions is the key to companies' survival. However, the question is what types of companies that were replaced by other companies and disappeared from the partner companies' list. In this study, we focused on business bankruptcies, which affect the structure of partner firms' transaction networks. Using the data of 1,406,690 cumulative companies over the 10 years from 2007 to 2016 in Japan, provided by Tokyo Shoko Research, Ltd., we investigated the features of companies to identify any patterns in the cases of bankruptcy. We analyzed the business status related to bankruptcy, including discontinuance, suspension, merger, and resumption. To illustrate the latent features of bankruptcies with various corporate features, we used tensor factorial analysis, which reduces data complexity and enables a reasonable interpretation. The analysis results of factorization seem to clarify previously hidden knowledge to support transaction management.
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