俄美关系在俄美舆论中的作用

Natalia Nemirova
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这篇文章致力于通过两国舆论的棱镜来研究俄美关系。公民的对外政治观点是现代信息社会国际政治的重要组成部分;它们直接影响到国际关系的发展,为世界领导人的外交政策决定提供了合法化和道德化的机会。本文以公开的二手民意调查数据为基础,追溯了后苏联时期俄美关系的发展历史。作者证明,当前冷战意识回归背后的反美主义思想形成于21世纪初。普京总统的个性及其外交政策战略对俄美关系具有决定性作用,但与此同时,俄美两国“敌友”形象体系中的负面认同是通过基于价值的外交政策理念实现的,而不是通过机会主义的情境价值判断。媒体制造了现有的危机议程,影响了公民的情绪反应,而不是有意义的回应。2014年的事件引发了目前俄美关系的长期危机,其特征是相互认知的差异(不对称),这种差异在2018年之后加剧。这一时期的另一个特点是,公众舆论的矛盾心理和动荡加剧,将其模式原始化为“支持-反对”、“友-敌”的集团意识的表达。对俄罗斯人来说,他们在乌克兰问题和制裁问题上的立场仍然是他们对美国看法的关键指标。对美国人来说,这些指标是俄罗斯极权主义的加强和对美国选举的干预。当前时期俄美关系改善的短期和中期前景都不明朗。
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Russian-American relations in the public opinion of Russia and the USA
The article is devoted to the study of Russian-American relations through the prism of public opinion of both countries. Foreign political views of citizens are an important element of international politics in the modern information society; they directly affect the development of international relations, providing an opportunity to legitimize and moralize foreign policy decisions of world leaders. Based on open secondary data from opinion polls, the article traces the history of the development of Russian-American relations in the post-Soviet period. The author proves that the formation of anti-Americanism ideas underlying the current reversion of consciousness to the Cold War era was formed by the early 2000s. The personality of President Vladimir Putin and his foreign policy strategy have become decisive for Russian-American relations, but at the same time, negative identification in the system of images of “friends and enemies” of Russians and Americans is realized by value-based foreign policy ideas, rather than by opportunistic situational value judgments. The media produces the existing crisis agenda, influencing the emotional, rather than meaningful response in citizens’ opinions. The events of 2014 triggered the current long-term crisis in Russian-American relations, a characteristic feature of which was the disparity (asymmetry) of mutual perceptions, which intensified after 2018. This period is also characterized by an increase in the ambivalence and turbulence of public opinion, primitivizing its model to the expression of the bloc consciousness “for — against”, “friend — enemy”. For Russians, their stance on the Ukrainian question alongside sanctions remain the key indicators in the perception of America. For Americans, such indicators are the strengthening of totalitarianism in Russia and interference in American elections. There are no short- and medium-term prospects for improving Russian-American relations in the current period.
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