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Foreign economic cooperation between St. Petersburg and Denmark in the 21st century: Main trends, problems, prospects 21世纪圣彼得堡与丹麦的对外经济合作:主要趋势、问题与展望
Pub Date : 2021-04-14 DOI: 10.21638/SPBU06.2021.103
I. Novikova, D. Popov
Russian-Danish economic cooperation has a long and rich history, in which St. Petersburg, due to its geographical location, has always played an important role. The study of the role of large megacities in national foreign economic policy is now of great scientific and practical importance. The authors of this article attempt to examine the economic sphere of paradiplomacy based on the example of St. Petersburg. The article analyzes the legal framework for economic cooperation between St. Petersburg and Denmark, trade and investment cooperation, determines the place of St. Petersburg in the total trade turnover of Russia with Denmark, and the importance of Danish exports and imports for St. Petersburg’s economy. Special attention is paid to the period 2014–2020, namely, the impact of the sanctions regime on Danish and St. Petersburg economic cooperation, as well as the new role of the Danish autonomous regions — the Faroe Islands and Greenland. The authors determine that there were no drastic changes in the economic interaction between St. Petersburg and Denmark after the introduction of sanctions. Although the counter-sanctions reduced the supply of Danish food products, the export of St. Petersburg goods to Denmark increased. The vacuum created by the reduction in the supply of Danish products was filled by enterprising residents of the Faroe Islands, who are not members of the European Union (EU). St. Petersburg has become one of the key centers of consumption of Faroese fish and seafood. The main obstacles to the development of economic cooperation between St. Petersburg and Denmark remain: value differences between the Russian Federation and the EU, the sanctions regime, an outdated regulatory framework, and a high degree of distrust between partners, which is beginning to affect the pragmatic sphere of the economy. The global economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic also has a negative impact on economic cooperation between St. Petersburg and Denmark. However, the epidemic opens up new opportunities for cooperation in areas that were on the periphery of Danish-Russian economic relations: digitalization of the economy and education, urbanism and the implementation of the ideas of a “smart city”, cooperation in the field of pharmaceuticals and medical technologies, and cybersecurity.
俄罗斯与丹麦的经济合作有着悠久而丰富的历史,其中圣彼得堡由于其地理位置,一直发挥着重要作用。研究特大城市在国家对外经济政策中的作用具有重要的科学意义和现实意义。本文试图以圣彼得堡为例,对副外交的经济领域进行考察。文章分析了圣彼得堡与丹麦经济合作、贸易投资合作的法律框架,确定了圣彼得堡在俄丹贸易总额中的地位,以及丹麦进出口对圣彼得堡经济的重要性。特别关注2014-2020年期间,即制裁制度对丹麦和圣彼得堡经济合作的影响,以及丹麦自治区- -法罗群岛和格陵兰的新作用。作者确定,在实行制裁之后,圣彼得堡和丹麦之间的经济互动没有发生重大变化。虽然反制裁减少了丹麦食品的供应,但圣彼得堡向丹麦出口的货物却增加了。丹麦产品供应减少所造成的真空由法罗群岛富有进取心的居民填补,他们不是欧洲联盟(欧盟)的成员。圣彼得堡已成为法罗群岛鱼类和海鲜的主要消费中心之一。圣彼得堡与丹麦之间发展经济合作的主要障碍仍然存在:俄罗斯联邦与欧盟之间的价值观差异、制裁制度、过时的监管框架以及伙伴之间的高度不信任,这已开始影响到经济的务实领域。新冠肺炎疫情引发的全球经济危机也对圣彼得堡与丹麦的经济合作产生了负面影响。然而,疫情为丹麦与俄罗斯经济关系边缘领域的合作开辟了新的机会:经济和教育的数字化、城市化和“智慧城市”理念的实施、制药和医疗技术领域的合作以及网络安全。
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引用次数: 1
The pandemic, Russia and the West 大流行,俄罗斯和西方
Pub Date : 2021-04-14 DOI: 10.21638/SPBU06.2021.101
R. Sakwa
The Covid-19 pandemic represented a major event in world history, although its political character remains disputed. It is too early to tell what long-term impact the coronavirus will have on international affairs, but its immediate results are clear. The article examines the context of the pandemic and some of the salient effects, noting that it has acted as an accelerant rather than a game changer. The paper then contextualises these changes into the larger pattern of Russian foreign policy, noting the way that the pandemic only deepened and in parts accelerated existing tendencies and trends. International politics remain trapped between post-war patterns in the Atlantic power system and the emergence of new challenges, above all the nascent bipolarity between the United States and China. Russia seeks to manoeuvre in this new constellation, including by advancing its civilisational autonomy. Instead of introducing greater flux into international affairs, the pandemic only confirmed and intensified the existing impasse, and the long-anticipated multipolarity remains more of an aspiration than a reality. The stasis in international affairs remains in place.
新冠肺炎大流行是世界历史上的一个重大事件,尽管其政治性质仍存在争议。现在判断冠状病毒将对国际事务产生何种长期影响还为时过早,但其直接后果是显而易见的。本文考察了大流行的背景和一些显著影响,指出它起到了加速作用,而不是改变游戏规则的作用。然后,该文件将这些变化置于俄罗斯外交政策的更大格局中,指出大流行只是加深和部分加速了现有的趋势和趋势。国际政治仍然困在大西洋权力体系的战后模式和新挑战的出现之间,最重要的是美国和中国之间新生的两极分化。俄罗斯试图在这个新的星座中发挥作用,包括推进其文明自治。这场大流行病不仅没有给国际事务带来更大的动荡,反而证实并加剧了现有的僵局,人们期待已久的多极化仍然是一种愿望,而不是现实。国际事务的僵局依然存在。
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引用次数: 1
Russian — US public diplomacy: Comparative aspects and dialogue prospects 俄美公共外交:比较方面与对话前景
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/SPBU06.2019.407
A. Velikaya
on neutral activities — cultural diplomacy, twin city initiatives, and sub-state diplomacy. Still, the agenda could be extended, but political will from both sides is needed. The target audience for Russian public diplomacy is the “Greater Eurasia,” the United States is a less significant, albeit “problematic” area. For US public diplomacy, Russia is viewed not in the context of “engagement” strategy, but from the standpoint of countering propaganda. At the same time, the strategic dialogue of the two largest nuclear powers is conducted through analytical centers and the expert community. The target audience of Russian — US public diplomacy — undergraduates, graduate students, lecturers, journalists — are involved in the bilateral programs, but not on a systematic basis. To reveal the problems of the bilateral public diplomacy, and ways to solve them, the author addresses several top experts in the field and reveals their recommendations in the article.
论中立活动——文化外交、双城倡议和次邦外交。尽管如此,会谈议程可以延长,但双方都需要有政治意愿。俄罗斯公共外交的目标受众是“大欧亚大陆”,美国是一个不那么重要的,尽管“有问题”的地区。对于美国的公共外交来说,俄罗斯不是在“接触”战略的背景下看待的,而是从反对宣传的角度来看的。与此同时,两个最大的核大国通过分析中心和专家社区进行战略对话。俄美公共外交的目标受众——本科生、研究生、讲师、记者——参与双边项目,但不是在系统的基础上。为了揭示双边公共外交存在的问题和解决方法,作者在文章中邀请了该领域的几位顶尖专家,并提出了他们的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Conferences on political modeling: Simulating European Union — Eurasian Economic Union negotiations 政治建模会议:模拟欧盟-欧亚经济联盟谈判
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/SPBU06.2019.408
N. Gudalov, Evgenii Yu. Treshchenkov, D. A. Levi, T. S. Nemchinova, Mariia L. Lagutina
The article is prepared based on the results of the J. Monnet grant (project) № 2017-2618 “Simulating EU-Eurasian Economic Union Negotiations to Encourage Transnational Active Learning and Civil Dialogue”.
本文是基于J. Monnet资助(项目)№2017-2618“模拟欧盟-欧亚经济联盟谈判以鼓励跨国积极学习和民间对话”的结果编写的。
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引用次数: 0
A glorious history of international studies in Russia 俄罗斯国际研究的辉煌历史
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/SPBU06.2019.409
D. Lanko
Many people, especially in, but not limited to Europe, tend to believe that if something is good, it must have a long history. There are various implications of this assumption across social sciences and humanities. In democracy studies, for example, the assumption has produced the debate on the differences between “old” and “new” democracies, many participants of which have arrived in conclusion that old democracies are more stable, while new democracies are more fragile [1]. Representatives of far-right movements in various European countries, including in Russia and some other new independent states, who are predominantly proponents of primordial theory of nationalism [2], are engaged in debates with each other about whose nation is “older” assuming that “older” nations are also “better”, despite both the “conclusion” and the “logic” behind it seem absurd to me. Closer to international relations, in 2003 the assumption became the primary reason for many Europeans not to buy then US Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld’s argument that “old” European countries are outdated in their refusal to support US policy in Iraq, while Europe must “renew” in the way demonstrated by “new” European countries, which predominantly supported the Iraq war [3]. Back then and today, most people in “new” European countries want their countries to become “older”, and most people in “old” European countries do not want their countries to become “younger”. Awareness of this assumption is an important prerequisite to reading of MGIMO (Moscow State Institute of International Relations University) Professor Marina Lebedeva’s “Russian Studies of IR”. Lebedeva rightly points that very few Russian scholars in the field of international studies doubt that “the Westphalian system with its ideas of sover-
许多人,尤其是但不限于欧洲的人,倾向于认为,如果一个东西是好的,那么它一定有很长的历史。这一假设在社会科学和人文科学领域有多种含义。例如,在民主研究中,这一假设引发了关于“旧”民主与“新”民主之间差异的辩论,许多参与者得出的结论是,旧民主更稳定,而新民主则更脆弱。在欧洲各国,包括俄罗斯和其他一些新独立国家,极右翼运动的代表们主要是民族主义原始理论的支持者,他们正在相互争论谁的国家“更老”,假设“更老”的国家也“更好”,尽管在我看来,这个“结论”和背后的“逻辑”都是荒谬的。在国际关系方面,2003年,这一假设成为许多欧洲人不相信当时的美国国防部长唐纳德·拉姆斯菲尔德的论点的主要原因,即“老”欧洲国家拒绝支持美国在伊拉克的政策已经过时,而欧洲必须以“新”欧洲国家所展示的方式“更新”,这些国家主要支持伊拉克战争。无论是当时还是今天,“新”欧洲国家的大多数人都希望他们的国家变得“老”,而“老”欧洲国家的大多数人都不希望他们的国家变得“年轻”。了解这一假设是阅读莫斯科国立国际关系大学教授Marina Lebedeva的《俄罗斯国际关系研究》的重要前提。列别德娃正确地指出,在国际问题研究领域,很少有俄罗斯学者怀疑“威斯特伐利亚体系及其相互冲突的思想”
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引用次数: 0
Russian-American relations in a changing world: A new contribution to the discussion on the future of international order 变化世界中的俄美关系:对未来国际秩序讨论的新贡献
Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/SPBU06.2019.410
A. Bogdanov, Yulia K. Boguslavskaya
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引用次数: 0
Latin America in search of new formats of international cooperation 拉丁美洲寻求新的国际合作形式
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.201
V. Jeifets
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引用次数: 0
Mexico’s Evolving Security Cooperation Policy in Central America 墨西哥在中美洲安全合作政策的演变
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.204
A. Manukhin, Areli Robles Herrera
medium-power status. In this article we examine the search by Mexico for new security instruments in Central America, putting forward the issues of mutual development, migration and combat on violence. Particular attention is paid to the change in Mexico-U.S. relationship as regards Central America, both in matters of its domestic policy and international assistance efforts. It is concluded that the sub-region provides Mexico with wide opportunities not only to estab-lish partnerships along the lines of regional cooperation but also use the smaller republics to the south as a model for solving its own security problems.
中等功率状态。在本文中,我们审查了墨西哥在中美洲寻求新的安全手段的情况,提出了相互发展、移民和打击暴力的问题。特别关注的是墨西哥-美国关系的变化。无论是在国内政策方面还是在国际援助努力方面。结论是,该分区域为墨西哥提供了广泛的机会,不仅可以按照区域合作的方针建立伙伴关系,而且还可以利用南面较小的共和国作为解决其自身安全问题的模式。
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引用次数: 2
Latin America and the Caribbean and a New Global Order: Facing Global and Regional Challenges 拉丁美洲和加勒比地区与全球新秩序:面对全球和区域挑战
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.202
A. Serbín
Latin America and the Caribbean as a region faces an intricate process of transition. This process is conditioned by the changes currently ongoing in the international environment, by a reconfiguration of the regional political map and by an exhaustion of the attempts to build regionalization and political consensus of the preceding decade, associated at the time to the boom of commodities and the rise of populist and leftist governments. To the difficulties faced by CELAC — where the construction of consensuses by an atomized region vis a vis external actors becomes extremely difficult, it should be added the evident weakening of the ALBA with the exhaustion of the Venezuelan capacity to nourish with oil resources the cooperation that sustains the Bolivarian scheme and a crisis underway in UNASUR where — particularly as a result of the Venezuelan crisis and the paralysis of the institution — six of its member countries (half of its total membership) have questioned the functioning of the agency and threaten to withdraw their membership. Although the Venezuelan crisis may be the epicenter of this regional situation and its impact — possibly polarizing — on the crossroads that are confronting regionalism and regional integration, introspection is not enough. The potential convergence of MERCOSUR with the Pacific Alliance, the redefinition of the external policies of its members as a result of electoral changes or the re-shaping of its domestic dynamics do not fully explain the current shift and it is necessary to combine it with the understanding of the pressures imposed by a changing global environment, where the crisis of globalization, the difficulties to build global governance, the weakening of multilateralism and the decline of the international liberal order are associated with the reconfiguration and diffusion of power worldwide, within a framework of a series of developments plagued by uncertainties and risks for the region. In this perspective, this article addresses the different dimensions of global transformations and its impact on the region and the challenges that the region faces in order to adapt to the changes in the current international environment.
拉丁美洲和加勒比作为一个区域面临着一个复杂的过渡过程。这一进程的条件是当前国际环境的变化,区域政治版图的重新配置,以及前十年建立区域化和政治共识的努力的枯竭,这在当时与商品的繁荣和民粹主义和左翼政府的兴起有关。除了拉共体所面临的困难之外——在那里,一个原子化的地区与外部行动者建立共识变得极其困难——还应该加上拉丁美洲联盟的明显削弱,委内瑞拉用石油资源来维持玻利瓦尔计划的合作的能力已经耗尽,而在南美国家联盟,特别是由于委内瑞拉的危机和该机构的瘫痪——正在发生危机有六个成员国(占其成员国总数的一半)对该机构的运作提出质疑,并威胁要退出该机构。尽管委内瑞拉危机可能是这一地区局势的中心,并可能在地区主义和区域一体化面临的十字路口产生两极分化的影响,但内省是不够的。南方共同市场可能与太平洋联盟趋同,由于选举变化而重新确定其成员的对外政策,或重新塑造其国内动态,这些都不能完全解释目前的转变,必须将其与对不断变化的全球环境所施加的压力的理解结合起来,其中全球化的危机、建立全球治理的困难、多边主义的削弱和国际自由秩序的衰落,与世界范围内权力的重新配置和扩散有关,这是在一系列事态发展的框架内,该地区受到不确定性和风险的困扰。从这一角度出发,本文探讨了全球变革的不同层面及其对该地区的影响,以及该地区为适应当前国际环境的变化而面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Ripple Effects: Brazil-China Relations in Light of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) “一带一路”倡议下的巴中关系
Pub Date : 2019-06-01 DOI: 10.21638/11701/spbu06.2019.203
A. Abdenur
The literature on Brazil-China relations has expanded rapidly during the past decade, but most of this scholarship has focused on bilateral channels or on the broad trends in how China’s growing presence impacts politics, economics, and society in Brazil. Largely left out of this equation is how China’s cooperation and competition dynamics within its own region shape its relations to Brazil. How does the promotion of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) affect Brazil’s relations with China? This paper draws on official documents and statistics to analyze how the BRI affects Brazil ́s relations with China along three dimensions: the economic, strategic, and political spheres. I argue that, despite the geographic distances separating Brazil from the Belt and Road Initiative, the initiative has concrete repercussions for Brazil’s bilateral and multilateral dealings with China through a ripple effect emerging out of the BRI’s spatial configuration. The paper also proposes that most of this impact is shaped by a ripple effect emerging out of the BRI’s spatial configuration, although some components of the initiative, namely the Digital Belt and Road, are less anchored in geographic space. Brazilian researchers and policymakers must think beyond bilateral channels and consider how geopolitics and geoeconomics shape Brazil-China relations.
关于巴中关系的文献在过去十年中迅速发展,但大多数研究都集中在双边渠道或中国日益增长的存在如何影响巴西政治、经济和社会的大趋势上。中国在其所在地区的合作与竞争动态如何影响其与巴西的关系,这在很大程度上被忽略了。“一带一路”倡议的推进对巴西与中国的关系有何影响?本文利用官方文件和统计数据,分析了“一带一路”倡议如何从经济、战略和政治三个方面影响巴西与中国的关系。我认为,尽管巴西与“一带一路”倡议在地理上相距遥远,但该倡议通过“一带一路”空间布局产生的连锁反应,对巴西与中国的双边和多边交易产生了具体影响。该报告还提出,这种影响大部分是由“一带一路”空间格局产生的连锁反应形成的,尽管该倡议的一些组成部分,即数字“一带一路”,在地理空间上的锚定程度较低。巴西的研究人员和政策制定者必须超越双边渠道,考虑地缘政治和地缘经济如何影响巴中关系。
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引用次数: 4
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Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. International relations
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